Monthly Archives: September 2015

Football Daily Dose: Dose: Thursday News and Notes

Written by : Posted on September 30, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Thursday, October 01, 2015

As it is every week, the next three days are crucial for lineup decisions, lineup making and general roster maintenance in fantasy football. Week 4 features two teams on a bye (Titans and Patriots) and another full round of injuries to keep an eye on.

Let’s recap Wednesday’s most pertinent news.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

The Headlines

Bills HC Rex Ryan mentioned on Wednesday that LeSean McCoy (hamstring) “doesn’t look good (to play)” for Week 4 against the Giants. Rookie out of FSU Karlos Williams will handle the majority of the touches if McCoy is indeed inactive. Williams is a freak athlete for his height and weight. He’s 6’1”, 230 lbs and ran a 4.48 forty at the 2015 combine; that was good enough for a 94th percentile height-adjusted speed score from Player Profiler. Williams is an explosive and sudden back who averaged 3.8 yards per carry after contact on his 12 carries in Week 3. He’s a borderline top-10 play this week.

Continuing unfortunate Bills-related news, Rex Ryan also mentioned that he’s “not sure” if Sammy Watkins (calf) will play Week 4 against the Giants. Watkins didn’t practice on Wednesday and may be held out all week. Percy Harvin and Robert Woods would get the start if Watkins were to miss the Bills home against the Giants.

Saints quarterback Drew Brees (shoulder) said he took “most” of the first-team reps at practice on Wednesday, adding he feels “really good” about his chances of playing in Week 4 against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Brees continued, “I’ll see how the shoulder responds tomorrow and for the rest of the day. But each day I’m able to do more and more; each day I feel stronger. Each day there’s more range of motion, more strength, and so that’s the key.” Brees was ruled out for Week 3 on Friday of last week, indicating he wasn’t really close to playing against the Panthers. He is still questionable at best for now, but at least there is clear optimism here mid-week.

Cardinals HC Bruce Arians stated on Wednesday that Andre Ellington (knee) is “50/50” to play Sunday against the Rams. Chris Johnson would start in place of Ellington again if he’s inactive, with David Johnson spelling CJ2K. Chris Johnson’s name is usually the butt of a joke, but he’s played well in Ellington’s absence. In two games against the Bears and Niners (poor run-stopping defenses) Johnson has 182 yards on his 42 carries (4.33 YPC) and 56.04% of his rushing yardage came after first contact. For what it’s worth, the Rams are currently ranked 12th in Football Outsiders’ Rush Defense DVOA. Johnson isn’t a league-winning back anymore, but he’ll be heavily involved while Ellington is nursing his PCL strain.

Continuing the theme of RBs that are “50/50” to play in Week 4, Marshawn Lynch (hamstring) is questionable to suit up for Monday Night Football. Lynch had an MRI on Monday, but the team did not provide any information on the results. Thomas Rawls would start in place of Lynch if he is indeed inactive but it’s looking like Lynch is already trending towards a game-time decision.

Davante Adams was seen around the Packers’ facilities in a walking boot for his injured left ankle on Wednesday. He didn’t practice. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport mentioned during Monday Night Football that Adams was dealing with a high ankle sprain and would “miss some time.” Early indications this week seem to point to Adams being unavailable for Week 4 in San Francisco. This would leave Ty Montgomery as the Packers’ starter opposite James Jones and Randall Cobb in the slot. Keep in mind, Green Bay’s base offense is 3-WR sets. They have run 99% of their offensive plays with three receivers out wide. 

Texans reporter Tania Ganguli is “sensing a lot of optimism” about Arian Foster’s (groin) chances of playing in Week 4 against the Falcons. HC Bill O’Brien stated Wednesday that he’s anticipating a game-time decision on Foster’s availability. I’m taking O’Brien’s word with a grain of salt, but we’re close to seeing Arian Foster back on the field in 2015. With all of the carnage, missed opportunities and general lack of good play for whatever reason at the running back position, Arian Foster is a weekly top-10 option when he returns.

In Bears’ news, Alshon Jeffery (hamstring) and Jay Cutler (hamstring) both returned to practice on a limited basis on Wednesday. Jeffery is on the positive side of the questionable tag and should play, barring a setback. There probably isn’t a realistic shot Cutler plays at home against Oakland in Week 4. John Fox has a mind of his own when it comes to his teams’ practice and injury reports.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Quick Hits

Andrew Luck (shoulder) was limited in Wednesday’s practice; I’d wager there is a 99.5% chance Luck plays in Week 4. … Victor Cruz re-aggravated his calf injury in Wednesday’s practice and can safely be dropped in 10- and 12-team re-draft fantasy leagues. … DeSean Jackson (hamstring) remained sidelined during Wednesday’s practice. … Dwayne Allen (ankle) did not practice on Wednesday. … In the least-shocking news on the Jags’ injury report, Marqise Lee (hamstring) did not practice on Wednesday. … Finally, Julius Thomas (hand) has yet to be cleared to play.

As it is every week, the next three days are crucial for lineup decisions, lineup making and general roster maintenance in fantasy football. Week 4 features two teams on a bye (Titans and Patriots) and another full round of injuries to keep an eye on.

Let’s recap Wednesday’s most pertinent news.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

The Headlines

Bills HC Rex Ryan mentioned on Wednesday that LeSean McCoy (hamstring) “doesn’t look good (to play)” for Week 4 against the Giants. Rookie out of FSU Karlos Williams will handle the majority of the touches if McCoy is indeed inactive. Williams is a freak athlete for his height and weight. He’s 6’1”, 230 lbs and ran a 4.48 forty at the 2015 combine; that was good enough for a 94th percentile height-adjusted speed score from Player Profiler. Williams is an explosive and sudden back who averaged 3.8 yards per carry after contact on his 12 carries in Week 3. He’s a borderline top-10 play this week.

Continuing unfortunate Bills-related news, Rex Ryan also mentioned that he’s “not sure” if Sammy Watkins (calf) will play Week 4 against the Giants. Watkins didn’t practice on Wednesday and may be held out all week. Percy Harvin and Robert Woods would get the start if Watkins were to miss the Bills home against the Giants.

Saints quarterback Drew Brees (shoulder) said he took “most” of the first-team reps at practice on Wednesday, adding he feels “really good” about his chances of playing in Week 4 against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Brees continued, “I’ll see how the shoulder responds tomorrow and for the rest of the day. But each day I’m able to do more and more; each day I feel stronger. Each day there’s more range of motion, more strength, and so that’s the key.” Brees was ruled out for Week 3 on Friday of last week, indicating he wasn’t really close to playing against the Panthers. He is still questionable at best for now, but at least there is clear optimism here mid-week.

Cardinals HC Bruce Arians stated on Wednesday that Andre Ellington (knee) is “50/50” to play Sunday against the Rams. Chris Johnson would start in place of Ellington again if he’s inactive, with David Johnson spelling CJ2K. Chris Johnson’s name is usually the butt of a joke, but he’s played well in Ellington’s absence. In two games against the Bears and Niners (poor run-stopping defenses) Johnson has 182 yards on his 42 carries (4.33 YPC) and 56.04% of his rushing yardage came after first contact. For what it’s worth, the Rams are currently ranked 12th in Football Outsiders’ Rush Defense DVOA. Johnson isn’t a league-winning back anymore, but he’ll be heavily involved while Ellington is nursing his PCL strain.

Continuing the theme of RBs that are “50/50” to play in Week 4, Marshawn Lynch (hamstring) is questionable to suit up for Monday Night Football. Lynch had an MRI on Monday, but the team did not provide any information on the results. Thomas Rawls would start in place of Lynch if he is indeed inactive but it’s looking like Lynch is already trending towards a game-time decision.

Davante Adams was seen around the Packers’ facilities in a walking boot for his injured left ankle on Wednesday. He didn’t practice. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport mentioned during Monday Night Football that Adams was dealing with a high ankle sprain and would “miss some time.” Early indications this week seem to point to Adams being unavailable for Week 4 in San Francisco. This would leave Ty Montgomery as the Packers’ starter opposite James Jones and Randall Cobb in the slot. Keep in mind, Green Bay’s base offense is 3-WR sets. They have run 99% of their offensive plays with three receivers out wide. 

Texans reporter Tania Ganguli is “sensing a lot of optimism” about Arian Foster’s (groin) chances of playing in Week 4 against the Falcons. HC Bill O’Brien stated Wednesday that he’s anticipating a game-time decision on Foster’s availability. I’m taking O’Brien’s word with a grain of salt, but we’re close to seeing Arian Foster back on the field in 2015. With all of the carnage, missed opportunities and general lack of good play for whatever reason at the running back position, Arian Foster is a weekly top-10 option when he returns.

In Bears’ news, Alshon Jeffery (hamstring) and Jay Cutler (hamstring) both returned to practice on a limited basis on Wednesday. Jeffery is on the positive side of the questionable tag and should play, barring a setback. There probably isn’t a realistic shot Cutler plays at home against Oakland in Week 4. John Fox has a mind of his own when it comes to his teams’ practice and injury reports.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Quick Hits

Andrew Luck (shoulder) was limited in Wednesday’s practice; I’d wager there is a 99.5% chance Luck plays in Week 4. … Victor Cruz re-aggravated his calf injury in Wednesday’s practice and can safely be dropped in 10- and 12-team re-draft fantasy leagues. … DeSean Jackson (hamstring) remained sidelined during Wednesday’s practice. … Dwayne Allen (ankle) did not practice on Wednesday. … In the least-shocking news on the Jags’ injury report, Marqise Lee (hamstring) did not practice on Wednesday. … Finally, Julius Thomas (hand) has yet to be cleared to play.

Discuss THE CONTRACTION AND Enjoyment OF CARDIAC Materials

Written by : Posted on September 30, 2015 : No Comments

Discuss THE CONTRACTION AND Enjoyment OF CARDIAC Materials

Contraction and relaxation of cardiac materials The cardiac sacromere is a significant contraction item within the coronary heart. This really is a perfectly shaped and organised cytoskeleton made of actin, myosin and regulatory proteins.pay to write essay The myosin and actin are also referred to because solid along with the thinner filaments respectively. Myosin functions as the proteins motor unit on the cardiac muscles microscopic cells which immediately translate chemical substance electricity into mechanised power.

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Targets and Touches: Week 4 NFC Targets and Touches

Written by : Posted on September 30, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

In case you missed it, the AFC Targets and Touches column can be found here.

If a player has an asterisk next to a number in their data set that indicates the player was injured during the game. Also, this data will stick to fantasy relevant players meaning that running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends that only see one target or touch per-game will not be included.

Editor’s Note: Stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld Player News page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @GrahamBarfield on Twitter.

Arizona Cardinals

 

Targets: Larry Fitzgerald (8, 9, 11), John Brown (7, 5, 5), Darren Fells (5, 0, 2), David Johnson (2, 2, 3), Michael Floyd (1, 1, 5), Jaron Brown (1, 3, 0), Chris Johnson (1, 1, 2)

RB Touches: Chris Johnson (10, 20, 23) and David Johnson (1, 7, 10)

Red zone Targets: John Brown (1, 0, 0), Larry Fitzgerald (0, 2, 3), Darren Fells (1, 0, 0), Jaron Brown (0, 1, 0), Michael Floyd (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Chris Johnson (0, 6, 4) and David Johnson (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Jerraud Powers 12, 6, 3 (7-111, 4-83-1, 1-14), Tyrann Mathieu 5, 6, 3 (3-31-1, 6-38, 1-2), Patrick Peterson 5, 3, 1 (1-30, 1-8, 0-0)

Analysis: Larry Fitzgerald is a borderline WR1 in fantasy football this year. He was drafted as a low-end WR3 in August, which may turn out to be one of the top-3 biggest steals in re-draft leagues this year. When Carson Palmer is starting at quarterback for the Cardinals, Larry Fitzgerald averages 5.5 receptions, 70.8 receiving yards, and 0.68 touchdowns on 8.16 targets per-game. Fitz not only has a high weekly floor in PPR leagues but he’s locked-in as the Cards’ red zone threat – he’s seen five of Palmer’s 12 attempts inside of the 20-yard-line through three games.

Atlanta Falcons

 

Targets: Julio Jones (11, 15, 20), Roddy White (8, 1, 0), Leonard Hankerson (4, 11, 6), Devonta Freeman (4, 8, 5), Tevin Coleman (2, 1*, 0), Jacob Tamme (3, 6, 1)

RB Touches: Tevin Coleman (20, 9*, 0) and Devonta Freeman (13, 16, 35)

Red zone Targets: Julio Jones (1, 1, 6), Roddy White (1, 0, 0), Devonta Freeman (1, 0, 2), Leonard Hankerson (0, 2, 1), Tevin Coleman (0, 1*, 0)

Red zone Carries: Devonta Freeman (3, 4, 8) and Tevin Coleman (1, 2*, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Phillip Adams 5, 5, 2 (3-30, 4-45, 2-14), Desmond Trufant 4, 0, 3 (2-40, 0-0, 1-20), Robert Alford 3, 12, 0 (2-31, 7-128-2, 0-0)

Analysis: Julio Jones just had a record-breaking start to his season. He tied T.J. Houshmandzadeh for the most targets (46) in Weeks 1 through 3 since target tracking began in 1998. Jones also set an NFL record for the most receptions (34) in the first three games of a season, beating previous record holders Tim Brown and Wes Welker (31). We are living in the Year of the Julio.

Without Tevin Coleman (ribs), Devonta Freeman was the Falcons’ workhorse back in Week 3. Terron Ward was the only other Atlanta back active in Dallas. Freeman had his best game as a pro to-date on his 35 touches posting a 30-141-3 rushing line (4.7 yards per carry) and will remain a mid-to-high RB2 for as long as Coleman is inactive.

Carolina Panthers

 

Targets: Greg Olsen (3, 14, 11), Jonathan Stewart (4, 1, 1), Ted Ginn (7, 9, 6), Devin Funchess (2, 4, 4)

RB Touches: Jonathan Stewart (22, 18, 14)

Red zone Targets: Greg Olsen (1, 1, 5), Ted Ginn (1, 0, 0), Devin Funchess (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Jonathan Stewart (4, 1, 2), Cam Newton (2, 2, 3), Mike Tolbert (0, 1, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Bene Benwikere 12, 10, 8 (8-47, 6-52, 6-50), Josh Norman 9, 12, 6 (3-15-1, 6-40, 4-43), Charles Tillman 3, 7, 9 (1-27, 4-61, 8-77)

Analysis: After seeing just three targets in Week 1, Greg Olsen has seen 36.8% of Cam Newton’s targets in the last two weeks. That target share is bound to regress a bit, but he’s locked in to at least eight targets per-game for the time being. Rob Gronkowski is the only tight end that will consistently see similar weekly volume. Through three weeks, Jonathan Stewart has seen 50% of the Panthers’ carries (Cam Newton has 31.6%) and 46.7% of the red zone carries.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

 

Chicago Bears

 

Targets: Alshon Jeffery (11, 0, 0), Matt Forte (8, 5, 3), Martellus Bennett (7, 6, 5), Eddie Royal (5, 8, 3), Marquess Wilson (2, 5, 2)

RB Touches: Matt Forte (29, 19, 20) and Jeremy Langford (1, 6, 0)

Red zone Targets: Matt Forte (4, 1, 0), Alshon Jeffery (3, 0, 0), Eddie Royal (2, 1,0 ) – No Red zone plays in Week 3

Red zone Carries: Matt Forte (4, 1, 0) and Jeremy Langford (0, 1, 0) — No Red zone plays in Week 3

CBs Thrown At: Alan Ball 5, 4, 8 (4-51-2, 3-35, 6-101), Kyle Fuller 4, 4, 2 (2-46, 3-60-2, 1-4), Sherrick McManis 3, 2, 3 (3-19-1, 2-12-1, 3-15)

Analysis: After being shutout by the Seahawks on the road in Week 3, the Bears’ target and touch data is easy to digest. With Alshon Jeffery (hamstring/calf) likely returning in Week 4, his weekly floor is intact even with Jimmy Clausen just on volume alone.

 

Dallas Cowboys

 

Targets: Jason Witten (9, 8, 8), Terrance Williams (8, 7, 2), Lance Dunbar (9, 5, 10), Cole Beasley (6, 5, 4), Joseph Randle (3, 1, 2), Gavin Escobar (2, 3, 0), Darren McFadden (1, 2, 0)

RB Touches: Joseph Randle (19, 19, 16) Lance Dunbar (9, 3, 11), Darren McFadden (7, 12, 6)

Red zone Targets: Jason Witten (3, 1, 0), Cole Beasley (2, 1, 0), Lance Dunbar (2, 0, 0), and Terrance Williams (2, 1, 0), Gavin Escobar (1, 2, 0) – No Red zone targets in Week 3

Red zone Carries: Joseph Randle (1, 2, 2) and Darren McFadden (1, 0, 3)

CBs Thrown At: Tyler Patmon 7, 10, 6 (3-32, 6-81, 4-63-1), Brandon Carr 6, 4, 7 (3-13, 2-24-1, 5-54-1), Morris Claiborne 5, 6, 11 (3-33, 5-28, 6-77)

Analysis: Via NFL.com’s Matt Harmon, Joseph Randle’s yardage gained on each of his 14 carries on Sunday: 28, 37, 20, 1, -1, 1, 4, 1, 0, 1, -1, -4, 2, -2.  Randle is seeing 62.3% of the Cowboys carries but has only played on 41.4% of Dallas’ snaps. He’s a RB2 based on volume and Dallas’ offensive line, but I am not chasing his three touchdown performance.

 

Detroit Lions

 

Targets: Calvin Johnson (4, 17, 13), Golden Tate (8, 10, 7), Eric Ebron (5, 10, 5), Ameer Abdullah (4, 1, 5), Theo Riddick (2, 6, 10), Joique Bell (2, 2, 1)

RB Touches: Ameer Abdullah (11, 7, 10), Joique Bell (8, 6, 11), Theo Riddick (2, 6, 8)

Red zone Targets: Calvin Johnson (0, 2, 3), Ameer Abdullah (0, 1, 1), Golden Tate (0, 1, 1), Eric Ebron (1, 0, 0), Theo Riddick (0, 0, 3)

Red zone Carries: Joique Bell (0, 0, 2) and Ameer Abdullah (0, 0, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Rashean Mathis 11, 4, 11 (9-85, 4-22, 8-43) and Darius Slay 4, 2, 6 (3-50, 2-9-1, 5-123-1),

Analysis: For whatever reason, the Lions love wasting touches on Joique Bell. Through three games he has 20 carries for 22 yards and one one-yard touchdown score. He’s averaging 1.1 yards per carry and his longest run is seven yards.

On a better note, I’m not overly worried about Calvin Johnson. He’s going to continue to see double-digit targets and the Lions’ schedule has been fairly rough sledding as far as opposing secondaries go. He’ll see Richard Sherman and Seattle on Monday Night Football in Week 4, but after that his next eight matchups really open up some major scoring opportunities. The Lions face: the Cardinals, Bears, Vikings, Chiefs, Packers (twice), Raiders, and the Eagles.

Green Bay Packers

 

Targets: Randall Cobb (5, 11, 12), Davante Adams (8, 5, 2*), Eddie Lacy (3, 0*, 3), James Jones (4, 3, 8), Richard Rodgers (3, 4, 4), James Starks (0, 4, 1), Ty Montgomery (0, 4, 2), Andrew Quarless (0, 0, 2)

RB Touches: Eddie Lacy (21, 3*, 13) and James Starks (2, 24, 18)

Redzone Targets: Randall Cobb (1, 1, 4), James Jones, (2, 1, 0), Davante Adams (2, 0, 0*), Eddie Lacy (1, 0*, 0), Ty Montgomery (0, 2, 1), Richard Rodgers (0, 2, 0)

Redzone Carries: Eddie Lacy (4, 0*, 1) and James Starks (0, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Sam Shields 9, 1, 5 (7-105, 1-0, 4-61) and Casey Hayward 3, 5, 8 (1-5, 4-69-1, 7-67-1)

Analysis: Davante Adams re-aggravated or re-injured his left ankle sprain on Monday Night Football and per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Adams is expected to miss “some time”. Stay tuned to Green Bay’s practice reports on Adams’ injury, but James Jones stands to benefit the most if Adams indeed misses time. Regardless of Adams’ ankle injury, James Jones is already pushing for the Packers’ No. 2 wide receiver job.

In case you missed it, the AFC Targets and Touches column can be found here.

If a player has an asterisk next to a number in their data set that indicates the player was injured during the game. Also, this data will stick to fantasy relevant players meaning that running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends that only see one target or touch per-game will not be included.

Editor’s Note: Stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld Player News page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @GrahamBarfield on Twitter.

Arizona Cardinals

 

Targets: Larry Fitzgerald (8, 9, 11), John Brown (7, 5, 5), Darren Fells (5, 0, 2), David Johnson (2, 2, 3), Michael Floyd (1, 1, 5), Jaron Brown (1, 3, 0), Chris Johnson (1, 1, 2)

RB Touches: Chris Johnson (10, 20, 23) and David Johnson (1, 7, 10)

Red zone Targets: John Brown (1, 0, 0), Larry Fitzgerald (0, 2, 3), Darren Fells (1, 0, 0), Jaron Brown (0, 1, 0), Michael Floyd (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Chris Johnson (0, 6, 4) and David Johnson (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Jerraud Powers 12, 6, 3 (7-111, 4-83-1, 1-14), Tyrann Mathieu 5, 6, 3 (3-31-1, 6-38, 1-2), Patrick Peterson 5, 3, 1 (1-30, 1-8, 0-0)

Analysis: Larry Fitzgerald is a borderline WR1 in fantasy football this year. He was drafted as a low-end WR3 in August, which may turn out to be one of the top-3 biggest steals in re-draft leagues this year. When Carson Palmer is starting at quarterback for the Cardinals, Larry Fitzgerald averages 5.5 receptions, 70.8 receiving yards, and 0.68 touchdowns on 8.16 targets per-game. Fitz not only has a high weekly floor in PPR leagues but he’s locked-in as the Cards’ red zone threat – he’s seen five of Palmer’s 12 attempts inside of the 20-yard-line through three games.

Atlanta Falcons

 

Targets: Julio Jones (11, 15, 20), Roddy White (8, 1, 0), Leonard Hankerson (4, 11, 6), Devonta Freeman (4, 8, 5), Tevin Coleman (2, 1*, 0), Jacob Tamme (3, 6, 1)

RB Touches: Tevin Coleman (20, 9*, 0) and Devonta Freeman (13, 16, 35)

Red zone Targets: Julio Jones (1, 1, 6), Roddy White (1, 0, 0), Devonta Freeman (1, 0, 2), Leonard Hankerson (0, 2, 1), Tevin Coleman (0, 1*, 0)

Red zone Carries: Devonta Freeman (3, 4, 8) and Tevin Coleman (1, 2*, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Phillip Adams 5, 5, 2 (3-30, 4-45, 2-14), Desmond Trufant 4, 0, 3 (2-40, 0-0, 1-20), Robert Alford 3, 12, 0 (2-31, 7-128-2, 0-0)

Analysis: Julio Jones just had a record-breaking start to his season. He tied T.J. Houshmandzadeh for the most targets (46) in Weeks 1 through 3 since target tracking began in 1998. Jones also set an NFL record for the most receptions (34) in the first three games of a season, beating previous record holders Tim Brown and Wes Welker (31). We are living in the Year of the Julio.

Without Tevin Coleman (ribs), Devonta Freeman was the Falcons’ workhorse back in Week 3. Terron Ward was the only other Atlanta back active in Dallas. Freeman had his best game as a pro to-date on his 35 touches posting a 30-141-3 rushing line (4.7 yards per carry) and will remain a mid-to-high RB2 for as long as Coleman is inactive.

Carolina Panthers

 

Targets: Greg Olsen (3, 14, 11), Jonathan Stewart (4, 1, 1), Ted Ginn (7, 9, 6), Devin Funchess (2, 4, 4)

RB Touches: Jonathan Stewart (22, 18, 14)

Red zone Targets: Greg Olsen (1, 1, 5), Ted Ginn (1, 0, 0), Devin Funchess (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Jonathan Stewart (4, 1, 2), Cam Newton (2, 2, 3), Mike Tolbert (0, 1, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Bene Benwikere 12, 10, 8 (8-47, 6-52, 6-50), Josh Norman 9, 12, 6 (3-15-1, 6-40, 4-43), Charles Tillman 3, 7, 9 (1-27, 4-61, 8-77)

Analysis: After seeing just three targets in Week 1, Greg Olsen has seen 36.8% of Cam Newton’s targets in the last two weeks. That target share is bound to regress a bit, but he’s locked in to at least eight targets per-game for the time being. Rob Gronkowski is the only tight end that will consistently see similar weekly volume. Through three weeks, Jonathan Stewart has seen 50% of the Panthers’ carries (Cam Newton has 31.6%) and 46.7% of the red zone carries.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

 

Chicago Bears

 

Targets: Alshon Jeffery (11, 0, 0), Matt Forte (8, 5, 3), Martellus Bennett (7, 6, 5), Eddie Royal (5, 8, 3), Marquess Wilson (2, 5, 2)

RB Touches: Matt Forte (29, 19, 20) and Jeremy Langford (1, 6, 0)

Red zone Targets: Matt Forte (4, 1, 0), Alshon Jeffery (3, 0, 0), Eddie Royal (2, 1,0 ) – No Red zone plays in Week 3

Red zone Carries: Matt Forte (4, 1, 0) and Jeremy Langford (0, 1, 0) — No Red zone plays in Week 3

CBs Thrown At: Alan Ball 5, 4, 8 (4-51-2, 3-35, 6-101), Kyle Fuller 4, 4, 2 (2-46, 3-60-2, 1-4), Sherrick McManis 3, 2, 3 (3-19-1, 2-12-1, 3-15)

Analysis: After being shutout by the Seahawks on the road in Week 3, the Bears’ target and touch data is easy to digest. With Alshon Jeffery (hamstring/calf) likely returning in Week 4, his weekly floor is intact even with Jimmy Clausen just on volume alone.

 

Dallas Cowboys

 

Targets: Jason Witten (9, 8, 8), Terrance Williams (8, 7, 2), Lance Dunbar (9, 5, 10), Cole Beasley (6, 5, 4), Joseph Randle (3, 1, 2), Gavin Escobar (2, 3, 0), Darren McFadden (1, 2, 0)

RB Touches: Joseph Randle (19, 19, 16) Lance Dunbar (9, 3, 11), Darren McFadden (7, 12, 6)

Red zone Targets: Jason Witten (3, 1, 0), Cole Beasley (2, 1, 0), Lance Dunbar (2, 0, 0), and Terrance Williams (2, 1, 0), Gavin Escobar (1, 2, 0) – No Red zone targets in Week 3

Red zone Carries: Joseph Randle (1, 2, 2) and Darren McFadden (1, 0, 3)

CBs Thrown At: Tyler Patmon 7, 10, 6 (3-32, 6-81, 4-63-1), Brandon Carr 6, 4, 7 (3-13, 2-24-1, 5-54-1), Morris Claiborne 5, 6, 11 (3-33, 5-28, 6-77)

Analysis: Via NFL.com’s Matt Harmon, Joseph Randle’s yardage gained on each of his 14 carries on Sunday: 28, 37, 20, 1, -1, 1, 4, 1, 0, 1, -1, -4, 2, -2.  Randle is seeing 62.3% of the Cowboys carries but has only played on 41.4% of Dallas’ snaps. He’s a RB2 based on volume and Dallas’ offensive line, but I am not chasing his three touchdown performance.

 

Detroit Lions

 

Targets: Calvin Johnson (4, 17, 13), Golden Tate (8, 10, 7), Eric Ebron (5, 10, 5), Ameer Abdullah (4, 1, 5), Theo Riddick (2, 6, 10), Joique Bell (2, 2, 1)

RB Touches: Ameer Abdullah (11, 7, 10), Joique Bell (8, 6, 11), Theo Riddick (2, 6, 8)

Red zone Targets: Calvin Johnson (0, 2, 3), Ameer Abdullah (0, 1, 1), Golden Tate (0, 1, 1), Eric Ebron (1, 0, 0), Theo Riddick (0, 0, 3)

Red zone Carries: Joique Bell (0, 0, 2) and Ameer Abdullah (0, 0, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Rashean Mathis 11, 4, 11 (9-85, 4-22, 8-43) and Darius Slay 4, 2, 6 (3-50, 2-9-1, 5-123-1),

Analysis: For whatever reason, the Lions love wasting touches on Joique Bell. Through three games he has 20 carries for 22 yards and one one-yard touchdown score. He’s averaging 1.1 yards per carry and his longest run is seven yards.

On a better note, I’m not overly worried about Calvin Johnson. He’s going to continue to see double-digit targets and the Lions’ schedule has been fairly rough sledding as far as opposing secondaries go. He’ll see Richard Sherman and Seattle on Monday Night Football in Week 4, but after that his next eight matchups really open up some major scoring opportunities. The Lions face: the Cardinals, Bears, Vikings, Chiefs, Packers (twice), Raiders, and the Eagles.

Green Bay Packers

 

Targets: Randall Cobb (5, 11, 12), Davante Adams (8, 5, 2*), Eddie Lacy (3, 0*, 3), James Jones (4, 3, 8), Richard Rodgers (3, 4, 4), James Starks (0, 4, 1), Ty Montgomery (0, 4, 2), Andrew Quarless (0, 0, 2)

RB Touches: Eddie Lacy (21, 3*, 13) and James Starks (2, 24, 18)

Redzone Targets: Randall Cobb (1, 1, 4), James Jones, (2, 1, 0), Davante Adams (2, 0, 0*), Eddie Lacy (1, 0*, 0), Ty Montgomery (0, 2, 1), Richard Rodgers (0, 2, 0)

Redzone Carries: Eddie Lacy (4, 0*, 1) and James Starks (0, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Sam Shields 9, 1, 5 (7-105, 1-0, 4-61) and Casey Hayward 3, 5, 8 (1-5, 4-69-1, 7-67-1)

Analysis: Davante Adams re-aggravated or re-injured his left ankle sprain on Monday Night Football and per NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, Adams is expected to miss “some time”. Stay tuned to Green Bay’s practice reports on Adams’ injury, but James Jones stands to benefit the most if Adams indeed misses time. Regardless of Adams’ ankle injury, James Jones is already pushing for the Packers’ No. 2 wide receiver job.

Minnesota Vikings

 

Targets: Mike Wallace (7, 3, 4), Kyle Rudolph (7, 7, 5), Charles Johnson (3, 3, 4), Jarius Wright (4, 2, 4), Adrian Peterson (3, 2, 0), Jerick McKinnon (2, 0, 1)

RB Touches: Adrian Peterson (13, 31, 20) and Jerick McKinnon (5, 3, 6)

Red zone Targets:  Kyle Rudolph (0, 3, 1), Adrian Peterson (0, 1, 0), Jarius Wright (0, 1, 0)

Red zone Carries: Adrian Peterson (0, 12, 6) and Jerick McKinnon (0, 2, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Xavier Rhodes 6, 13, 5* (4-38, 7-62-1, 3-79-1), Terence Newman 4, 5, 8 (3-20, 2-17, 6-42-0), Captain Munnerlyn 0, 9, 2 (0-0, 6-45, 2-45)

Analysis: Through three games, the Vikings offense has funneled through Adrian Peterson while Teddy Bridgewater has attempted just 74 passes this year, the 29th most among quarterbacks in the league. It’s an easy fantasy offense to diagnose, although it’s not full of fantasy goodness: Peterson is a top-8 option regardless of the week, Charles Johnson and Mike Wallace are both low-end WR4’s, and Kyle Rudolph is in a cohort of low-TE1’s.

 

New Orleans Saints

 

Targets: Brandin Cooks (8, 7, 8), Mark Ingram (9, 3, 5), Marques Colston (7, 5, 6), Brandon Coleman (7, 6, 3), C.J. Spiller (0, 1, 2), Khiry Robinson (6, 1, 2), Ben Watson (5, 4, 4), Willie Snead (3, 6, 7), Josh Hill (0, 4, 1)

RB Touches: Mark Ingram (17, 19, 19), C.J. Spiller (0, 4, 3), Khiry Robinson (13, 6, 9)

Redzone Targets: Brandin Cooks (1, 0, 0), Mark Ingram (2, 0, 0), Brandon Coleman (1, 0, 0), Khiry Robinson (0, 1, 0), Willie Snead (0, 1, 2)

Redzone Carries: Mark Ingram (2, 4, 3), Khiry Robinson (0, 0, 1), C.J. Spiller (0, 1, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Brandon Browner 6, 4, 5 (3-65, 2-25, 4-139) and Delvin Breaux 4, 3, 2 (3-26, 1-54, 0-0)

Analysis: Just like last week, I still don’t have a great feel on the Saints’ offense. Through three weeks, New Orleans has trailed on 161-of-203 (79.3%) offensive plays. Until Drew Brees (shoulder) returns, the only viable weekly option here is Mark Ingram. C.J. Spiller (knee) has played 9% and 20.8% of the snaps in the last two weeks and Brandin Cooks just doesn’t have the ceiling we thought he did. He’s a WR3 until further notice. 

New York Giants

 

Targets: Odell Beckham (8, 12, 9), Shane Vereen (5, 8, 3), Rueben Randle (5, 2, 7), Larry Donnell (4, 6, 6), Rashad Jennings (1, 2, 3), Daniel Fells (4, 0, 3)

RB Touches: Rashad Jennings (13, 11, 14), Shane Vereen (7, 14, 6), Andre Williams (6, 6, 14)

Redzone Targets: Odell Beckham (2, 0, 1), Larry Donnell (1, 2, 2), Rueben Randle (0, 0, 1), Shane Vereen (0, 0, 1)

Redzone Carries: Rashad Jennings (4, 0, 1) and Andre Williams (2, 1, 2)

CBs Thrown At: Prince Amukamara 10, 4, 8 (7-52, 3-49, 4-54), Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie 6, 2, 0* (5-75, 1-2, 0-0*), Trumaine McBride 5, 5, 8 (3-35, 3-23-1, 6-51)

Analysis: The Giants’ running back snap share in Week 3 on Thursday Night Football against Washington was: Andre Williams (23), Shane Vereen (22), and Rashad Jennings (21). That split was mostly game-flow induced as the Giants’ were leading the entire game, but Williams and Jennings will continue to eat away at each other’s weekly floor and ceiling. Rashad Jennings has 33 carries and Andre Williams has 26 through three games. Shane Vereen will have a role that is more impervious to game flow, but he is only a RB3 in fantasy.

 

Philadelphia Eagles

 

Targets: Jordan Matthews (13, 9, 8), Zach Ertz (8, 7, 2), Darren Sproles (9, 4, 6), DeMarco Murray (5, 5, 0), Nelson Agholor (2, 6, 4), Ryan Mathews (4, 0, 4)

RB Touches: DeMarco Murray (12, 17, 0), Darren Sproles (12, 5, 15), Ryan Mathews (6, 1, 27)

Redzone Targets: Jordan Matthews (2, 2, 1), DeMarco Murray (2, 1, 0), Zach Ertz (1, 1, 0), Nelson Agholor (0, 1, 0), Darren Sproles (0, 0, 1)

Redzone Carries: DeMarco Murray (3, 3, 0), Ryan Mathews (1, 0, 3), Darren Sproles (0, 0, 3)

CBs Thrown At: Byron Maxwell 10, 9, 6 (9-154-1, 6-86-1, 6-75) and Nolan Carroll 4, 5, 9 (3-48, 4-26, 5-49)

Analysis: While the Eagles’ offense has been highly conducive to fantasy production in the last two years, the Birds’ high-flying attack has been slow to get off of the ground in 2015. That changed a bit in Week 3. Ryan Mathews received 25 carries with DeMarco Murray’s (hamstring) absence and turned his workload into 108 rushing yards, another 20 yards receiving, and two scores (one rushing and one receiving). Regardless, I still don’t have a great feel for this offense at all and Mathews solid Week 3 just makes the situation more confusing.

Just seven of Sam Bradford’s 117 pass attempts have traveled 20-plus yards down the field. That is the lowest “deep pass” attempt rate in the league. The offense has no vertical threat after Jeremy Maclin’s exit via free agency leaving Jordan Matthews as the only bank-able piece in the Eagles’ passing game. Philadelphia’s attack is one to watch very closely in Week 4 as they play Washington on the road.

San Francisco 49ers

 

Targets: Vernon Davis (6, 7, 2), Anquan Boldin (5, 10, 4), Torrey Smith (3, 7, 2), Carlos Hyde (2, 4, 1), Quinton Patton (1, 4, 3), Mike Davis (0, 4, 3)

RB Touches: Carlos Hyde (28, 19, 16) and Mike Davis (0, 9, 8)

Red zone Targets: Vernon Davis (1, 1, 0), Anquan Boldin (1, 3, 1), Carlos Hyde (1, 0, 0), Torrey Smith (1, 2, 0), Reggie Bush (1, 0, 0), Mike Davis (0, 3, 0)

Red zone Carries: Carlos Hyde (5, 1, 1), Mike Davis (0, 5, 0), Colin Kaepernick (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Tramaine Brock 6, 4, 8 (5-39, 4-76, 4-65-1) and Kenneth Acker 4, 7, 6 (3-24, 6-120, 3-38)

Analysis: All of our worst fears came true with the 49ers offense in Week 3. San Francisco ran just 50 offensive plays in Week 3 thanks solely to Colin Kaepernick’s four interceptions, including two that were returned for scores. The only viable option on a weekly basis on this team is Carlos Hyde, but his production will be highly game flow dependent. Hyde needs his team to be ahead for him to see 22-25 carries per-game and the ‘Niners simply won’t be ahead often enough for Hyde to get going. He’s a low-end RB2 in fantasy at the moment.

Seattle Seahawks

 

Targets: Doug Baldwin (9, 8, 3), Jimmy Graham (8, 2, 8), Marshawn Lynch (7, 6, 1*), Tyler Lockett (4, 2, 1), Fred Jackson (1, 2, 2), Luke Willson (1, 4, 0), Chris Matthews (1, 2, 1), Jermaine Kearse (10, 2, 6)

RB Touches: Marshawn Lynch (23, 18, 6*), Fred Jackson (4, 2, 4), Thomas Rawls (2, 0, 16)

Red zone Targets: Jimmy Graham (4, 0, 1), Marshawn Lynch (2, 1, 0), Fred Jackson (0, 1, 0), Doug Baldwin (0, 1, 0), Jermaine Kearse (3, 0, 1), Chris Matthews (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Marshawn Lynch (1, 1, 0*), Fred Jackson (1, 0, 0), Russell Wilson (0, 1, 0), Thomas Rawls (0, 0, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Richard Sherman 4, 1, 3 (2-29, 1-13, 1-9) and Cary Williams 3, 2, 0 (3-36, 1-5-1, 0-0)

Analysis: Marshawn Lynch left the ‘Hawks Week 3 game after tweaking his hamstring and will be re-evaluated later in the week. If he can’t go, Thomas Rawls would likely see the lion’s share of Seattle’s touches again with Fred Jackson serving as the change-of-pace back. After seeing just two targets in Week 2, Jimmy Graham saw a target on 25.8% of his routes in Week 3. We’ll see if he can stay in the 7-10 targets per-game range with consistency.

St. Louis Rams

 

Targets: Jared Cook (6, 7, 3), Kenny Britt (3, 4, 10), Tre Mason (0, 5, 1), Benny Cunningham (7, 6, 2), Tavon Austin (5, 3, 5), Stedman Bailey (4, 4, 1), Lance Kendricks (2, 2, 5), Todd Gurley (0, 0, 1)

RB Touches: Todd Gurley (0, 0, 7), Tre Mason (0, 9, 10), Benny Cunnigham (20, 5, 3), Tavon Austin (4, 4, 0)

Red zone Targets: Tavon Austin (1, 0, 0) and Jared Cook (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Tre Mason (0, 0, 1), Benny Cunningham (2, 0, 0), Tavon Austin (1, 0, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Trumaine Johnson 2, 2, 5 (1-8, 1-3, 4-41), Janoris Jenkins 7, 9, 9 (5-38, 7-72-1, 8-77), Lamarcus Joyner 4, 5, 3 (4-49, 5-30, 2-11)

Analysis: Week 3 was an absolute debacle for the Rams’ offense. They were in a great spot to put up big points against a below average Pittsburgh secondary; so Jeff Fisher’s team picked up just 11 first downs, ran three plays in the redzone, and scored six points. In his first pro game, Todd Gurley received 14 snaps while Benny Cunningham had 15, and Tre Mason was on the field for 23 snaps. Those numbers will be changing soon as Gurley continues to get acclimated.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Targets: Mike Evans (0, 0, 17), Vincent Jackson (11, 5, 4), Austin Seferian-Jenkins (7, 3, 0), Charles Sims (5, 3, 2), Louis Murphy (3, 4, 6), Charles Sims (0, 0, 2), Doug Martin (1, 2, 0), Brandon Myers (0, 0, 4)

RB Touches: Doug Martin (12, 23, 14) and Charles Sims (7, 11, 8)

Redzone Targets: Mike Evans (0, 0, 2), Vincent Jackson (4, 2, 0), Austin Seferian-Jenkins (1, 0, 0)

Redzone Carries: Doug Martin (1, 4, 0) and Charles Sims (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Tim Jennings 0, 4, 10 (0-0, 2-21, 6-33-1), Alterraun Verner 3, 5, 3 (2-29, 2-24-1, 1-11), Sterling Moore 3, 5, 9 (3-57, 4-48, 4-69)

Analysis: Mike Evans saw 50%(!) of the Buccaneers targets in Week 3. That percentage won’t stick throughout the season, but his hamstring is clearly back to 100%. Outside of Evans, there isn’t much to discuss on the Bucs’ attack. Vincent Jackson is a boom-or-bust WR3 while Doug Martin has quietly split snaps with Charles Sims (99:89) through the first three weeks.

Washington

Targets: Jordan Reed (11, 6, 9), Pierre Garcon (8, 7, 12), Matt Jones (0, 3, 0), Alfred Morris (0, 2, 0), Ryan Grant (2, 6, 5), Andre Roberts (4, 1, 3), Jamison Crowder (1, 1, 6), Chris Thompson (1, 1, 11)

RB Touches: Alfred Morris (25, 20, 6), Matt Jones (6, 22, 11), Chris Thompson (3, 1, 10)

Red zone Targets: Jordan Reed (2, 0, 1), Pierre Garcon (0, 1, 0), Ryan Grant (0, 1, 1), Andre Roberts (0, 0, 2), Chris Thompson (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Alfred Morris (2, 4, 0) and Matt Jones (0, 4, 2)

CBs Thrown At: Chris Culliver 3, 0*, 4 (2-3, 0-0*, 3-22), DeAngelo Hall 4, 6, 2 (2-24, 4-56-1, 2-40), Bashaud Breeland 0*, 3, 10 (0-0*, 1-9, 8-125-2)

 

Analysis: Washington’s backfield snap-share split in Week 3: Chris Thompson (39), Matt Jones (26), and Alfred Morris (12). Washington was trailing the entire game hence Thompson’s leading snap count but this entire backfield is probably going to be split 40%/40%/20% in terms of touches for the immediate future. It’s probably best to avoid using backs in Washington unless one back comes away with a clear-cut role.

$100,000 Fantasy Challenge Strategy: FanDuel Contrarian Plays Week4

Written by : Posted on September 30, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Contrarian plays for FanDuel

You always hear that you have to be contrarian to win tournaments. What’s it mean? And how do you do it? Well, it means that you have to use players that aren’t obvious. You avoid using all of the players with the most talent in the best matchups and look for guys that are going to be owned by a smaller percentage of the field. That way, if they do well, not everyone benefits and you move past the field toward the top of the leaderboard.

There is a fine line between contrarian and stupid. We want good plays that are under the radar, exploitable situations that not everyone believes are exploitable. A couple of guidelines that I adhere to, and I’m a conservative player for the most part, are as follows: 1) talent trumps matchup and 2) go against the narratives. Talent trumps matchup doesn’t mean use someone like Matthew Stafford against the Seattle defense—no one else will be doing it but still… It can mean use Rob Gronkowski against Buffalo’s defense though. The second guideline involves paying attention to the narratives of the week. Who’s too old, who’s in a ‘revenge’ game, who sucks in his (three) primetime games? Use the old player (especially early in the season), fade the revenge game, and ignore small samples.

Week 4

 

Quarterback

 

There are a number of good QB plays for Week 4, and these two I’m writing up are among them. In not wanting to give you stupid contrarian plays, let me say that I think both Taylor and Dalton are going to fall into a medium-ownership category. They both project to me as the kind of player that you’re in on all week and swap out at the last minute on a “too good to be true” justification. Both have out-performed expectations and some will be nervous that the wondrous ride will come to an abrupt end despite the positive factors surrounding them this week.

 

Tyrod Taylor $7600: It looks like the Bills under Rex Ryan have finally made the right QB choice in TyGod Taylor. Taylor has made pretty good decisions and executed well through the air and in play action. He is PFF’s third most efficient fantasy QB, with 0.73 fantasy points per dropback (PPDB) and an 80.3% completion percentage. He has thrown three interceptions and been sacked nine times, but the Giants defense has only sacked opponents three times, and grade out as PFF’s worst pass rush unit. That says advantage Taylor to me. I’m not concerned about the potential lack of Sammy Watkins at all, but again, some people might have reduced enthusiasm for Taylor for that reason.

 

Andy Dalton $7600: Behind Aaron Rodgers (and just ahead of Taylor) in terms of PPDB, we have Dalton, the poster boy for QB inconsistency. With a healthy A.J. Green and effective run game, Dalton can be this good (866 PaYds and 8 TDs, 1 INT). The worry is that a four-interception game is always right around the corner… It may well be but I don’t see it coming from this matchup with the Chiefs, who have allowed ten touchdowns and the most fantasy points to opposing QBs (thanks in large part to Aaron Rodgers, but they were also soft against the Texans and Broncos).

 

Running Back

 

Melvin Gordon $6800: I’ve been a vocal Danny Woodhead supporter, and still am, particularly in PPR of course, but this week I really like Gordon. Through three weeks, he has largely disappointed with only 14-16 carries per game, but his 4.3 yards per carry aren’t bad and his role has at least been consistent. The team said in the offseason that they would bring him along slowly and that’s what they’ve done. The Browns have allowed the fourth most yards to opposing running backs (eighth most fantasy points), and that includes a week that Tennessee failed to do anything on the ground against them. The price and production thus far will have many people looking in another direction, and while I’m hesitant to go heavy in on Gordon, this feels like a situation where his role could be expanded. If he takes advantage of the soft matchup, those few who roster him will be rewarded.  

 

Alfred Blue $6400: There is talk of Arian Foster returning this week, so obviously pay attention to that and use Foster if he’s active, but I think it’s still too early. That leaves Blue to face the league’s most generous run defense in terms of fantasy points allowed. Atlanta has been torched by both pure rushers and receiving backs so far this season, allowing six rushing touchdowns and 317 receiving yards to running backs, both tops in the league. Jonathan Grimes may also have value at near minimum salary, but he’s a far more risky than smart play.

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Odell Beckham Jr. $9100: Three things will keep people off of OBJ: price, matchup and the return of Victor Cruz. Paying up for elite talent is one way to differentiate your lineup and despite the slow start to 2015, Beckham Jr. is 19/269/2 with most of that coming in Weeks 2 & 3. Matchup is the big issue here as Bills are coming off a dominant performance in Miami. However, we saw New England get to them at home and they also allowed over 200 yards receiving and a touchdown to Indianapolis. The return of Cruz probably helps Beckham Jr. more than hurts him as defenses will have to pay him more attention than any other Giants receiver lining up opposite their stud. It’s a decent week to play a cheap QB-WR stack with some elite, low owned talents like OBJ around it.

 

Donte Moncrief $6300: Moncrief is one of three NFL receivers to catch a touchdown in each of the first three weeks of football and the only one I genuinely believe in maintaining that pace. Andrew Luck has struggled mightily but still managed to salvage things fantasy-wise, at least for Moncrief. A better effort by Frank Gore last week was a good sign for this passing offense to open up a bit. A visit from the Jags for Week 4 could be what it takes to get back on track overall, but until Luck has that elite game, I believe that all of his weapons will be under-owned.

 

 

Tight End

 

Jared Cook $5400: He crushed a bunch of otherwise good Week 3 lineups of mine, so this is like therapy to write him up here. That’s what it means to have a short memory though. Tight end production is always going to be variable. After being the highest targeted member of the Rams through two weeks, Cook burned a lot of us in a good matchup with the Steelers’ secondary. This week he gets Arizona, a solid defense that has allowed a lot of fantasy points to tight ends over the past couple years (including 6/62 to Martellus Bennett in Week 2, the only competent pass catching tight end they’ve faced). It’s worth having some exposure to a potential bounceback game from Cook.

 

Jason Witten $6000: Just because Brandon Weeden is starting it doesn’t mean there isn’t value on the Cowboys. Last week I loved Joseph Randle, and think he’s a fine play again—but so will everyone else. Witten may go under the radar as tight end is such a seemingly deep position this season. With a week to get healthy, we can expect Witten to remain an integral part of this new look Dallas offense. This Sunday Night Football game in New Orleans is one of the higher over/under games of the week too.

 

 

Defense

The best defenses have the best matchups this week. Seattle, Denver, Buffalo, and Arizona are all playing at home. Of these, Buffalo is probably the most contrarian because their opponent, the Giants, has struggled less than Detroit, St. Louis, and Minnesota so far this year. They have only one team turnover. The thing is, most people will split between these four teams this week, and I’m fine with that. I’m not going to use a bad defense in a bad situation nor a decent defense on the road in a more difficult matchup when there are 3-4 quality options to choose from. 

Contrarian plays for FanDuel

You always hear that you have to be contrarian to win tournaments. What’s it mean? And how do you do it? Well, it means that you have to use players that aren’t obvious. You avoid using all of the players with the most talent in the best matchups and look for guys that are going to be owned by a smaller percentage of the field. That way, if they do well, not everyone benefits and you move past the field toward the top of the leaderboard.

There is a fine line between contrarian and stupid. We want good plays that are under the radar, exploitable situations that not everyone believes are exploitable. A couple of guidelines that I adhere to, and I’m a conservative player for the most part, are as follows: 1) talent trumps matchup and 2) go against the narratives. Talent trumps matchup doesn’t mean use someone like Matthew Stafford against the Seattle defense—no one else will be doing it but still… It can mean use Rob Gronkowski against Buffalo’s defense though. The second guideline involves paying attention to the narratives of the week. Who’s too old, who’s in a ‘revenge’ game, who sucks in his (three) primetime games? Use the old player (especially early in the season), fade the revenge game, and ignore small samples.

Week 4

 

Quarterback

 

There are a number of good QB plays for Week 4, and these two I’m writing up are among them. In not wanting to give you stupid contrarian plays, let me say that I think both Taylor and Dalton are going to fall into a medium-ownership category. They both project to me as the kind of player that you’re in on all week and swap out at the last minute on a “too good to be true” justification. Both have out-performed expectations and some will be nervous that the wondrous ride will come to an abrupt end despite the positive factors surrounding them this week.

 

Tyrod Taylor $7600: It looks like the Bills under Rex Ryan have finally made the right QB choice in TyGod Taylor. Taylor has made pretty good decisions and executed well through the air and in play action. He is PFF’s third most efficient fantasy QB, with 0.73 fantasy points per dropback (PPDB) and an 80.3% completion percentage. He has thrown three interceptions and been sacked nine times, but the Giants defense has only sacked opponents three times, and grade out as PFF’s worst pass rush unit. That says advantage Taylor to me. I’m not concerned about the potential lack of Sammy Watkins at all, but again, some people might have reduced enthusiasm for Taylor for that reason.

 

Andy Dalton $7600: Behind Aaron Rodgers (and just ahead of Taylor) in terms of PPDB, we have Dalton, the poster boy for QB inconsistency. With a healthy A.J. Green and effective run game, Dalton can be this good (866 PaYds and 8 TDs, 1 INT). The worry is that a four-interception game is always right around the corner… It may well be but I don’t see it coming from this matchup with the Chiefs, who have allowed ten touchdowns and the most fantasy points to opposing QBs (thanks in large part to Aaron Rodgers, but they were also soft against the Texans and Broncos).

 

Running Back

 

Melvin Gordon $6800: I’ve been a vocal Danny Woodhead supporter, and still am, particularly in PPR of course, but this week I really like Gordon. Through three weeks, he has largely disappointed with only 14-16 carries per game, but his 4.3 yards per carry aren’t bad and his role has at least been consistent. The team said in the offseason that they would bring him along slowly and that’s what they’ve done. The Browns have allowed the fourth most yards to opposing running backs (eighth most fantasy points), and that includes a week that Tennessee failed to do anything on the ground against them. The price and production thus far will have many people looking in another direction, and while I’m hesitant to go heavy in on Gordon, this feels like a situation where his role could be expanded. If he takes advantage of the soft matchup, those few who roster him will be rewarded.  

 

Alfred Blue $6400: There is talk of Arian Foster returning this week, so obviously pay attention to that and use Foster if he’s active, but I think it’s still too early. That leaves Blue to face the league’s most generous run defense in terms of fantasy points allowed. Atlanta has been torched by both pure rushers and receiving backs so far this season, allowing six rushing touchdowns and 317 receiving yards to running backs, both tops in the league. Jonathan Grimes may also have value at near minimum salary, but he’s a far more risky than smart play.

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Odell Beckham Jr. $9100: Three things will keep people off of OBJ: price, matchup and the return of Victor Cruz. Paying up for elite talent is one way to differentiate your lineup and despite the slow start to 2015, Beckham Jr. is 19/269/2 with most of that coming in Weeks 2 & 3. Matchup is the big issue here as Bills are coming off a dominant performance in Miami. However, we saw New England get to them at home and they also allowed over 200 yards receiving and a touchdown to Indianapolis. The return of Cruz probably helps Beckham Jr. more than hurts him as defenses will have to pay him more attention than any other Giants receiver lining up opposite their stud. It’s a decent week to play a cheap QB-WR stack with some elite, low owned talents like OBJ around it.

 

Donte Moncrief $6300: Moncrief is one of three NFL receivers to catch a touchdown in each of the first three weeks of football and the only one I genuinely believe in maintaining that pace. Andrew Luck has struggled mightily but still managed to salvage things fantasy-wise, at least for Moncrief. A better effort by Frank Gore last week was a good sign for this passing offense to open up a bit. A visit from the Jags for Week 4 could be what it takes to get back on track overall, but until Luck has that elite game, I believe that all of his weapons will be under-owned.

 

 

Tight End

 

Jared Cook $5400: He crushed a bunch of otherwise good Week 3 lineups of mine, so this is like therapy to write him up here. That’s what it means to have a short memory though. Tight end production is always going to be variable. After being the highest targeted member of the Rams through two weeks, Cook burned a lot of us in a good matchup with the Steelers’ secondary. This week he gets Arizona, a solid defense that has allowed a lot of fantasy points to tight ends over the past couple years (including 6/62 to Martellus Bennett in Week 2, the only competent pass catching tight end they’ve faced). It’s worth having some exposure to a potential bounceback game from Cook.

 

Jason Witten $6000: Just because Brandon Weeden is starting it doesn’t mean there isn’t value on the Cowboys. Last week I loved Joseph Randle, and think he’s a fine play again—but so will everyone else. Witten may go under the radar as tight end is such a seemingly deep position this season. With a week to get healthy, we can expect Witten to remain an integral part of this new look Dallas offense. This Sunday Night Football game in New Orleans is one of the higher over/under games of the week too.

 

 

Defense

The best defenses have the best matchups this week. Seattle, Denver, Buffalo, and Arizona are all playing at home. Of these, Buffalo is probably the most contrarian because their opponent, the Giants, has struggled less than Detroit, St. Louis, and Minnesota so far this year. They have only one team turnover. The thing is, most people will split between these four teams this week, and I’m fine with that. I’m not going to use a bad defense in a bad situation nor a decent defense on the road in a more difficult matchup when there are 3-4 quality options to choose from. 

The Worksheet: The Worksheet: Week 4

Written by : Posted on September 30, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Three weeks are in the books as we reach the bye week season, so make sure no Patriots or Titans are in your lineups this week. We’re starting to see tangible trends developing and some early noise start to fall to the small sample size wayside.

As usual, this post isn’t intended to be a linear start/sit guide, so use proper context on the players mentioned in the personal player section. As the author, I would highlight that the player section is simply the vehicle to provide 125-plus total facts on the games and the game by game data splits tables. Those two sections have a lot more actionable value when applied properly with your own initial thoughts on games and lineup situations, so take matters into your own hands where you can. All lines are taken from BetUs. Without further hindrance, let’s dive into the Week 4 games.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh

Ravens @ Steelers
-2.5 Spread 2.5
23 Team O/U 20.5
64.7 Plays/Gm 58.3
66.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.0
34.0% Rush % 41.1%
66.0% Pass % 58.9%
37.5% Opp. Rush % 38.6%
62.5% Opp. Pass % 61.4%
  • Le’Veon Bell has five or more receptions in his past three games against Baltimore.
  • In Bell’s first game back; he played 95.2 percent (60) of the offensive snaps, the highest percentage any back played for their team this past week.
  • Baltimore has allowed just two runs of 10 or more yards, fewest on the season. They allowed the third-fewest all of 2014.
  • Of the 42 quarterbacks that attempted at least 100 passes last seasons, Mike Vick had the lowest completion percentage at 52.9 percent (64-121) and lowest adjusted yards per attempt at 4.7 yards.
  • Joe Flacco threw multiple touchdowns in all three meetings against the Steelers last season.
  • With Crockett Gillmore dealing with a calf injury, Maxx Williams played 45 snaps and has seen seven targets.
  • Steve Smith has been targeted on 36.5 percent of his routes, the second-highest in the league behind Julio Jones (38.4 percent). The next highest on Baltimore is Gillmore at 16.9 percent of his routes.
  • The past two weeks have been the first time in Smith’s career that he’s had back-to-back games with double-digit receptions.
  • Justin Forsett carried 33 times for 134 yards with no scores in the three meetings between these teams a year ago.
  • The Ravens have allowed just 30 receiving yards to tight ends this season, fewest in the league.

Trust: Joe Flacco (even on Thursday Night and post-Nick Foles debacle, I’m not running away from targeting the Steelers’ pass defense weekly), Steve Smith (target vacuum by necessity against a subpar back end), Antonio Brown (I have no clue what type of Mike Vick we’ll see, but Pittsburgh will get touches for Brown)

Bust: Heath Miller, Justin Forsett (woes date back to late last season and not catching passes or seeing goal line opportunities), Mike Vick (played poorly in a far inferior environment a year ago, so that may not matter, but on a short week I don’t see how you roll him out in lineups)

Reasonable Return: Le’Veon Bell (expecting limited rushing stats, but always has a floor with his receiving ability), Crockett Gillmore (if he’s ready to go on a short week, otherwise swap in Maxx Williams), Kamar Aiken (Baltimore will need to attack Pittsburgh’s secondary and Smith will be drawing plenty of attention)

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

New York (AFC) vs. Miami

Jets @ Dolphins
-2.5 Spread 2.5
21.5 Team O/U 20
65.7 Plays/Gm 62.7
64.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.0
40.1% Rush % 28.7%
59.9% Pass % 71.3%
47.4% Opp. Rush % 52.5%
52.6% Opp. Pass % 47.5%
  • Ryan Tannehill has just one top-15 scoring week in five complete games facing the Jets.
  • Rishard Matthews ranks fifth in yards per targets (11.4 yards) and fourth in points per target (2.62).
  • Jarvis Landry is just one of four receivers to have eight receptions in every game so far, joining Julian Edelman, Julio Jones and Antonio Brown.
  • Miami ranks 30th in rushing points per attempt at .404 points. The Jets are allowing the second fewest rushing points per attempt at .330 points.
  • The Jets are allowing just .214 points per play, lowest mark in the league.
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick is 9-30 for 208 yards with one touchdown and four interceptions on passes 15 or more yards in the air.
  • Fitzpatrick’s fantasy weeks so far: QB20, QB21, QB20.

Trust: Brandon Marshall (outside of Brent Grimes, this Miami secondary is a weekly target)

Bust: Lamar Miller (there are little to no positive signs here for Miller turning it around before the bye), Ryan Tannehill, Rishard Matthews (volume has been there and could be again, but this matchup is rough)

Reasonable Return: Jarvis Landry (you know where the floor is here), Chris Ivory (Miami’s front has woefully underperformed), Eric Decker (if he’s back, he returns in a good spot), Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jordan Cameron (the receivers should struggle in this one against the Jets corners, forcing action his way)

New York (NFC) vs. Buffalo

Giants @ Bills
6 Spread -6
20 Team O/U 27
63.0 Plays/Gm 61.0
69.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 71.7
41.3% Rush % 53.0%
58.7% Pass % 47.0%
31.3% Opp. Rush % 24.2%
68.8% Opp. Pass % 75.8%
  • Through three games, just 14 of the Giants 78 (17.9%) rush attempts have gone for over five yards. Eli Manning has two of those and Dwayne Harris has one.
  • Buffalo sees just 17.3 rush attempts per game, lowest in the league.
  • 81.5 percent of the yards against the Bills have been through the air, second-highest split towards passing in the league.
  • The Giants have just one turnover on 30 possessions (three percent), lowest percentage in the league.
  • The Giants are tied for sixth in the league with 11 red zone trips, but are last in the league in red zone touchdown rate (27.3 percent), scoring just three touchdowns.
  • The Bills are third in the league in points per play (.546), but 30th in red zone opportunities per game at 2.0.
  • They have seven touchdowns outside of the red zone, which leads the league. They had just nine such scoring plays all of 2014.
  • Tyrod Taylor has completed 85.2 percent (51 of 62) of his throws within 15 yards, the highest completion percentage of any quarterback with 40 or more such attempts.
  • Taylor has thrown a touchdown pass once every 11.1 pass attempts, which is third in the league only behind Carson Palmer (9.8 attempts) and Aaron Rodgers (9.1).
  • Percy Harvin leads all wide receivers in catch rate at 88.9 percent (16 of 18 targets) and has four or more receptions in three consecutive games for the first time since 2011.
  • Karlos Williams leads all running backs with at least 20 carries in yards per attempt (7.8), and rushing fantasy points per attempt (1.53).
  • New York is allowing 39.8 yards per opponent’s drive, highest in the league.

Trust: Tyrod Taylor, Karlos Williams, Charles Clay (usage growing and the Giants have allowed the TE5, TE12 and TE6 through three weeks)

Bust: Eli Manning (has been playing his best football over the past year plus, but on the road in a tough spot here), Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams, Larry Donnell, Rueben Randle (finally was involved and even maximized those opportunities, but not expecting a rollover)

Reasonable Return: Odell Beckham (expecting the Giants to be limited, but you’re not running away from him), Percy Harvin and Sammy Watkins (this is a great spot for the Bills’ offense altogether, but the volume isn’t here for high ceiling as I’d prefer to play Taylor over his targets), Shane Vereen (no receptions a week ago, but the script is expected to be much different this week)

Three weeks are in the books as we reach the bye week season, so make sure no Patriots or Titans are in your lineups this week. We’re starting to see tangible trends developing and some early noise start to fall to the small sample size wayside.

As usual, this post isn’t intended to be a linear start/sit guide, so use proper context on the players mentioned in the personal player section. As the author, I would highlight that the player section is simply the vehicle to provide 125-plus total facts on the games and the game by game data splits tables. Those two sections have a lot more actionable value when applied properly with your own initial thoughts on games and lineup situations, so take matters into your own hands where you can. All lines are taken from BetUs. Without further hindrance, let’s dive into the Week 4 games.

Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.

Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh

Ravens @ Steelers
-2.5 Spread 2.5
23 Team O/U 20.5
64.7 Plays/Gm 58.3
66.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.0
34.0% Rush % 41.1%
66.0% Pass % 58.9%
37.5% Opp. Rush % 38.6%
62.5% Opp. Pass % 61.4%
  • Le’Veon Bell has five or more receptions in his past three games against Baltimore.
  • In Bell’s first game back; he played 95.2 percent (60) of the offensive snaps, the highest percentage any back played for their team this past week.
  • Baltimore has allowed just two runs of 10 or more yards, fewest on the season. They allowed the third-fewest all of 2014.
  • Of the 42 quarterbacks that attempted at least 100 passes last seasons, Mike Vick had the lowest completion percentage at 52.9 percent (64-121) and lowest adjusted yards per attempt at 4.7 yards.
  • Joe Flacco threw multiple touchdowns in all three meetings against the Steelers last season.
  • With Crockett Gillmore dealing with a calf injury, Maxx Williams played 45 snaps and has seen seven targets.
  • Steve Smith has been targeted on 36.5 percent of his routes, the second-highest in the league behind Julio Jones (38.4 percent). The next highest on Baltimore is Gillmore at 16.9 percent of his routes.
  • The past two weeks have been the first time in Smith’s career that he’s had back-to-back games with double-digit receptions.
  • Justin Forsett carried 33 times for 134 yards with no scores in the three meetings between these teams a year ago.
  • The Ravens have allowed just 30 receiving yards to tight ends this season, fewest in the league.

Trust: Joe Flacco (even on Thursday Night and post-Nick Foles debacle, I’m not running away from targeting the Steelers’ pass defense weekly), Steve Smith (target vacuum by necessity against a subpar back end), Antonio Brown (I have no clue what type of Mike Vick we’ll see, but Pittsburgh will get touches for Brown)

Bust: Heath Miller, Justin Forsett (woes date back to late last season and not catching passes or seeing goal line opportunities), Mike Vick (played poorly in a far inferior environment a year ago, so that may not matter, but on a short week I don’t see how you roll him out in lineups)

Reasonable Return: Le’Veon Bell (expecting limited rushing stats, but always has a floor with his receiving ability), Crockett Gillmore (if he’s ready to go on a short week, otherwise swap in Maxx Williams), Kamar Aiken (Baltimore will need to attack Pittsburgh’s secondary and Smith will be drawing plenty of attention)

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

New York (AFC) vs. Miami

Jets @ Dolphins
-2.5 Spread 2.5
21.5 Team O/U 20
65.7 Plays/Gm 62.7
64.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.0
40.1% Rush % 28.7%
59.9% Pass % 71.3%
47.4% Opp. Rush % 52.5%
52.6% Opp. Pass % 47.5%
  • Ryan Tannehill has just one top-15 scoring week in five complete games facing the Jets.
  • Rishard Matthews ranks fifth in yards per targets (11.4 yards) and fourth in points per target (2.62).
  • Jarvis Landry is just one of four receivers to have eight receptions in every game so far, joining Julian Edelman, Julio Jones and Antonio Brown.
  • Miami ranks 30th in rushing points per attempt at .404 points. The Jets are allowing the second fewest rushing points per attempt at .330 points.
  • The Jets are allowing just .214 points per play, lowest mark in the league.
  • Ryan Fitzpatrick is 9-30 for 208 yards with one touchdown and four interceptions on passes 15 or more yards in the air.
  • Fitzpatrick’s fantasy weeks so far: QB20, QB21, QB20.

Trust: Brandon Marshall (outside of Brent Grimes, this Miami secondary is a weekly target)

Bust: Lamar Miller (there are little to no positive signs here for Miller turning it around before the bye), Ryan Tannehill, Rishard Matthews (volume has been there and could be again, but this matchup is rough)

Reasonable Return: Jarvis Landry (you know where the floor is here), Chris Ivory (Miami’s front has woefully underperformed), Eric Decker (if he’s back, he returns in a good spot), Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jordan Cameron (the receivers should struggle in this one against the Jets corners, forcing action his way)

New York (NFC) vs. Buffalo

Giants @ Bills
6 Spread -6
20 Team O/U 27
63.0 Plays/Gm 61.0
69.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 71.7
41.3% Rush % 53.0%
58.7% Pass % 47.0%
31.3% Opp. Rush % 24.2%
68.8% Opp. Pass % 75.8%
  • Through three games, just 14 of the Giants 78 (17.9%) rush attempts have gone for over five yards. Eli Manning has two of those and Dwayne Harris has one.
  • Buffalo sees just 17.3 rush attempts per game, lowest in the league.
  • 81.5 percent of the yards against the Bills have been through the air, second-highest split towards passing in the league.
  • The Giants have just one turnover on 30 possessions (three percent), lowest percentage in the league.
  • The Giants are tied for sixth in the league with 11 red zone trips, but are last in the league in red zone touchdown rate (27.3 percent), scoring just three touchdowns.
  • The Bills are third in the league in points per play (.546), but 30th in red zone opportunities per game at 2.0.
  • They have seven touchdowns outside of the red zone, which leads the league. They had just nine such scoring plays all of 2014.
  • Tyrod Taylor has completed 85.2 percent (51 of 62) of his throws within 15 yards, the highest completion percentage of any quarterback with 40 or more such attempts.
  • Taylor has thrown a touchdown pass once every 11.1 pass attempts, which is third in the league only behind Carson Palmer (9.8 attempts) and Aaron Rodgers (9.1).
  • Percy Harvin leads all wide receivers in catch rate at 88.9 percent (16 of 18 targets) and has four or more receptions in three consecutive games for the first time since 2011.
  • Karlos Williams leads all running backs with at least 20 carries in yards per attempt (7.8), and rushing fantasy points per attempt (1.53).
  • New York is allowing 39.8 yards per opponent’s drive, highest in the league.

Trust: Tyrod Taylor, Karlos Williams, Charles Clay (usage growing and the Giants have allowed the TE5, TE12 and TE6 through three weeks)

Bust: Eli Manning (has been playing his best football over the past year plus, but on the road in a tough spot here), Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams, Larry Donnell, Rueben Randle (finally was involved and even maximized those opportunities, but not expecting a rollover)

Reasonable Return: Odell Beckham (expecting the Giants to be limited, but you’re not running away from him), Percy Harvin and Sammy Watkins (this is a great spot for the Bills’ offense altogether, but the volume isn’t here for high ceiling as I’d prefer to play Taylor over his targets), Shane Vereen (no receptions a week ago, but the script is expected to be much different this week)

Carolina vs. Tampa Bay

Panthers @ Buccaneers
-3 Spread 3
21.5 Team O/U 17.5
67.3 Plays/Gm 59.3
70.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 68.3
48.5% Rush % 45.5%
51.5% Pass % 54.5%
32.2% Opp. Rush % 51.2%
67.8% Opp. Pass % 48.8%
  • Mike Evans played 84 percent of the snaps last weekend and saw 17 targets. He was targeted on 54.8 percent of his routes, the highest total for any receiver in a game so far this season (minimum 15 routes).
  • The downside there is Evans’ 35 percent catch rate ranks dead last of all 85 players with 15 or more targets.
  • Evans totaled just seven receptions for 50 yards and a score in his two games facing Carolina a season ago. Vincent Jackson totaled 10 receptions for 106 yards in those two games.
  • Jameis Winston was 2-12 for 31 yards and an interception on third down last week.
  • Winston has a 51.5 percent completion rate on throws within 15 yards, the lowest mark in the league.
  • Tampa Bay split the backfield snaps last week nearly down the middle, with Doug Martin playing 31 to Charles Sims‘ 30. The prior week when they led for the majority of the game, Martin had 59.1 percent to Sims’ 40.9 percent.
  • Martin is last in points-per-touch (.42) out of all backs with at least 20 touches.
  • Just 23.2 percent of the runs against Carolina have gone for five yards or more, lowest mark in the league.
  • Cam Newton has three of the five Panthers’ carries inside of the 5-yard line so far, Jonathan Stewart has just one.
  • Derek Anderson started both games against Tampa Bay in 2014, but in those games, Greg Olsen was the TE2 and TE1 overall those weeks with 18 receptions for 193 yards and a touchdown.

Trust: Cam Newton (exploiting early season schedule and running like crazy), Greg Olsen

Bust: Vincent Jackson (he’s the exact same player, seeing the same usage he was a year ago), Jameis Winston (QB16 or lower all three weeks so far), Doug Martin

Reasonable Return: Jonathan Stewart (has had three incredible game scripts and posted identical lines every week. Tampa Bay was just roasted by Alfred Blue so I’m holding a candle in the tunnel here, but it’s dimming quickly), Ted Ginn (believe it or not, but he’s a weekly WR4/flex option), Mike Evans (boom/bust WR2 with heavy volume, but I’m hesitant in anticipating ceiling games for receivers versus Carolina), Charles Sims (expect him to see similar snap splits to last week and multiple targets)

Oakland vs. Chicago

Raiders @ Bears
-3 Spread 3
23.5 Team O/U 20.5
63.0 Plays/Gm 59.7
67.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 56.0
34.4% Rush % 49.2%
65.6% Pass % 50.8%
34.5% Opp. Rush % 51.8%
65.5% Opp. Pass % 48.2%
  • Amari Cooper‘s 20 receptions and 290 receiving yards are an Oakland rookie franchise record through three weeks. They’re the sixth and fifth best marks for any Raider receiver through three weeks ever.
  • Cooper’s 290 receiving yards are the fourth highest mark for any rookie receiver through three weeks and the most since Anquan Boldin‘s 378 in 2003.
  • Cooper’s target per route percentage each week: 20.0 percent, 25.6 percent and 31.0 percent.
  • Derek Carr is 20-28 for 246 yards and two touchdowns on third down this season.
  • Last week was the first time in 49 games that Matt Forte failed to record a reception, which was the longest active streak for a running back coming in.  The record now belongs to Jamaal Charles at 36 games.
  • Forte leads the league with 45 first-half rushing attempts, but has just 17 after halftime on the season.
  • The Bears have scored on just three drives (all field goals) led by Jimmy Clausen, with 13 punts.
  • Through three weeks, Oakland has allowed 21 receptions, 305 yards and five touchdowns to tight ends and the TE2, TE1 and TE2 overall each week.
  • In his one start with Clausen a year ago, Alshon Jeffery was the WR13, catching six of 15 targets for 72 yards and a score.

Trust: Martellus Bennett (Clausen isn’t Flacco or even Josh McCown, but Bennett isn’t Crockett Gillmore or Gary Barnidge), Latavius Murray (has quietly been one of the better running back values from the summer so far), Amari Cooper, Derek Carr (QB5 and QB8 the past two weeks against a team allowing the most passing points per attempt in the league)

Bust: Jimmy Clausen (Oakland is the only team to allow a top-12 quarterback in all three games, but even this week, don’t do it)

Reasonable Return: Alshon Jeffery (it’s not going to be pretty, but the volume and matchup still dictate optimism), Matt Forte (his ceiling is sapped because the Bears can’t score heavily with Clausen and Oakland has played well up front), Michael Crabtree

Kansas City vs. Cincinnati

Chiefs @ Bengals
4 Spread -4
20 Team O/U 24
63.3 Plays/Gm 64.0
70.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.3
41.1% Rush % 51.0%
58.9% Pass % 49.0%
35.6% Opp. Rush % 32.1%
64.5% Opp. Pass % 67.9%
  • Andy Dalton has now thrown multiple touchdowns in five consecutive regular season games, longest streak of his career and the top current active streak.
  • Gio Bernard out-snapped Jeremy Hill 51 to 26 Sunday.
  • The most damaging part of Jeremy Hill‘s miscues and role loss is that Cincinnati has trailed for just seven snaps so far, the second-fewest in the league.
  • Cincinnati has run 53 plays in the red zone this season, most in the league.
  • Dalton already has 25 red zone pass attempts through three weeks. He had just 55 last season and his career high is 74 red zone attempts in 2012.
  • Of those 25 attempts, seven have been to Tyler Eifert, six to A.J. Green and five to Marvin Jones.
  • A.J. Green‘s 13.4 yards per target leads all receivers with 20 or more targets.
  • The Chiefs have allowed the most touchdowns to wide receivers (nine) and have already allowed multiple top-20 scoring receivers in all three games.
  • Kansas City has converted just five of 30 (16.7 percent) third downs into a first down.
  • Jamaal Charles is first in the league in rushing points per attempt (.98) of all backs with 25 or more carries.
  • Jeremy Maclin’s 141 receiving yards were the most by a Kanas City receiver since Donnie Avery’s 141 yards in Week 3 of 2013.

Trust: Jamaal Charles, Andy Dalton, A.J. Green

Bust: Jeremy Maclin (Steve Smith roasted the Bengals, but I don’t buy that becoming a trend and Kansas City didn’t involve Maclin until it was late last week), Alex Smith (low projected point total on the road versus a good defense in a short week), Jeremy Hill (until we start seeing him earn the trust of the staff back and trust in his abilities, he’s a hard play)

Reasonable Return: Travis Kelce, Tyler Eifert (red zone viability is in play weekly), Marvin Jones (Kansas City is hemorrhaging yardage to receiver so far, but the target count is volatile), Gio Bernard (snaps and workload are all lined up, but are the scoring opportunities coming next?)

Houston vs. Atlanta

Texans @ Falcons
6.5 Spread -6.5
20 Team O/U 27
80.3 Plays/Gm 69.7
65.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 60.7
37.3% Rush % 42.6%
62.7% Pass % 57.4%
43.6% Opp. Rush % 33.0%
56.4% Opp. Pass % 67.0%
  • Not only are his 34 receptions the most ever through three weeks, but Julio Jones is the first receiver since Harold Jackson in 1972 to open the season with three straight games of 125 or more receiving yards.
  • Jones has a reception on 19.1 percent of his snaps, highest mark in the league.
  • After just 12 red zone targets in all of 2014, Jones already has eight red zone targets, which leads the league.
  • Atlanta was 26th in red zone plays in 2014 (7.4 per game). Through three weeks they are fourth with 12 per game.
  • Matt Ryan has at least 250 passing yards in 10 consecutive games, longest in team history and longest active streak for any quarterback. The next closest is Drew Brees at five.
  • After being targeted eight times on 32 routes in Week 1, Roddy White has seen just one target on 73 routes the past two weeks.
  • Devonta Freeman had 14 carries of five or more yards last week on 30 attempts. He had just four carries for five or more yards on 22 carries coming into the week.
  • Alfred Blue was second in the league last week with 12 carries of five plus yards on 321 attempts after seeing just 14 carries over the opening two weeks.
  • Ryan Mallet’s 5.2 yards per pass attempt rank 36th out of 39 quarterbacks with 25 or more attempts.
  • DeAndre Hopkins leads all receivers with 152 routes run.
  • Houston is the only team in the league that has run at least 70 plays in every game this season.

Trust: Julio Jones, Matt Ryan, DeAndre Hopkins (target monster that moves around enough to get free from Desmond Trufant, could see the same treatment Odell Beckham has seen in the second half of Week 2)

Bust: Alfred Blue (Atlanta showed last week their run defense was still in question, but Blue’s usage has been completely game flow related and Houston is a sizable road dog here), Nate Washington (eight targets or more every week and just one top-50 finish), Cecil Shorts (eight targets or more every week and no weeks as a top-40 option), Ryan Mallet, Roddy White

Reasonable Return: Devonta Freeman (I wouldn’t expect a repeat this week on the ground against the Houston front, but the passing game floor has him in play for a top-15 play again), Leonard Hankerson

Jacksonville vs. Indianapolis

Jaguars @ Colts
8.5 Spread -8.5
20 Team O/U 28
62.3 Plays/Gm 61.7
68.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.7
39.6% Rush % 34.6%
60.4% Pass % 65.4%
40.3% Opp. Rush % 47.1%
59.7% Opp. Pass % 52.9%
  • The Colts won both of the matchups between these two teams a year ago by a combined score of 67-20.
  • The Colts have had 16 first-half possessions this season and scored on one of them.
  • Andrew Luck is just 8-25 for 236 yards with one touchdown and five interceptions on throws 15 or more yards downfield.
  • Andre Johnson has seen his target per route totals of 21.7 percent Week 1 and 22.6 percent Week 2 fall to 4.2 percent in Week 3.
  • After being targeted just once through two weeks on 41 routes, Coby Fleener was targeted six times on 30 routes this past week.
  • Indianapolis has nine turnovers on 28 drives (32.1 percent), highest rate in the league.
  • Blake Bortles has attempted the most passes in the league of 15 or more yards, at 32. He’s completed 11 for 373 yards with two scores and an interception.
  • After seeing just 15 percent of the team targets Week 1, Allen Robinson has seen 36 and 27 percent the following two weeks.
  • Jacksonville ranks 31st in rushing points per attempt at .373 points.

Trust: Andrew Luck (definitely hasn’t played well, but still buying him as a big home favorite), Frank Gore (huge yardage days are unlikely, but this offense is capable of setting up multiple layups like they did a week ago), Donte Moncrief (two top-12 weeks and a top-36 one through three weeks), T.Y. Hilton

Bust: T.J. Yeldon (there are still better days coming for Yeldon and his three down usage, but game script has been the bugaboo to this point and doesn’t project to be good again), Andre Johnson (release him into the wild), Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen (if both guys play, neither become options. If Allen misses, bump up Fleener to fringe starter)

Reasonable Return: Blake Bortles (has played better from a fantasy stance than a real one, QB10 and QB16 the past two weeks), Allen Robinson (Vontae Davis has had mortal moments early in the season, but still not enough to make me thrust Robinson up a tier), Allen Hurns (similar situation as last week, Robinson will getting the best attention and the volume will be high)

Philadelphia vs. Washington

Eagles @ Washington
-3 Spread 3
24.5 Team O/U 21.5
63.7 Plays/Gm 68.3
71.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 54.7
37.7% Rush % 45.9%
62.3% Pass % 54.2%
39.1% Opp. Rush % 37.8%
60.9% Opp. Pass % 62.2%
  • Pierre Garcon has topped 75 receiving yards just three times over his past 15 games played.
  • Matt Jones played 33.8 percent (33) of the Washington snaps in Week 3 to Alfred Morris‘ 15.6 percent (12).
  • Jones is averaging .83 points per touch on 39 touches while Morris is at .45 on 51 touches.
  • Jordan Reed has been the TE6 all three weeks this season.
  • Philadelphia has allowed just one tight end to score since the start of last season.
  • Jordan Matthews has 30 targets while all of the other Eagles wide receivers have accounted for 32.
  • Nelson Agholor ranks last in points per target (.63) of all 64 receivers with double-digit targets.
  • Zach Ertz ranks last in points per target (1.02) of all 27 tight ends with double-digit targets.
  • DeMarco Murray‘s longest run through two weeks was nine yards. Ryan Mathews had three runs of 11-plus yards last weekend.
  • Sam Bradford was just 3-10 for 35 yards on third down last week, bringing his season line to 11-29 for 101 yards, with four first downs on third down.

Trust: Jordan Matthews (he’s the only piece to feel good about having a ceiling that comes with a usable floor)

Bust: DeMarco Murray (coming off of injury, Ryan Mathews playing well and now the loss of Andrew Gardner), Ryan Mathews (even if he takes carries away, Washington is allowing just .460 rushing points per attempt, the 7th lowest in the league), Sam Bradford (highest scoring week so far is QB19), Alfred Morris, Matt Jones (Jones looked like the leader last week but may have lost that gap with a goal line fumble. Philly has been stout versus the run, allowing a league-low .311 rushing points per attempt)

Reasonable Return: Darren Sproles (has become the most trustworthy part of this backfield, four receptions every week), Pierre Garcon, Jordan Reed (if Alonso and Kendricks miss again, get him going everywhere), Kirk Cousins (some tangible good moments mixed with one or two cringe-worthy ones, the Kirk Cousins way)

Cleveland vs. San Diego

Browns @ Chargers
7.5 Spread -7.5
17.5 Team O/U 27
59.3 Plays/Gm 67.3
65.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 54.7
40.5% Rush % 41.1%
59.6% Pass % 58.9%
49.0% Opp. Rush % 50.6%
51.0% Opp. Pass % 49.4%
  • Travis Benjamin is the first Browns’ receiver to catch a touchdown pass in all three games to open the season since Andre’ Davis in 2002.
  • For the second straight week, Duke Johnson played more snaps (40) than Isaiah Crowell (33).
  • Keenan Allen has played 99.5 percent of the San Diego snaps, highest mark for any wide receiver in the league.
  • Allen had 41 percent of the team targets in Week 1 and 45 percent this past week. The only other receiver to have multiple games with at least 40 percent of his team’s targets is Antonio Brown.
  • Melvin Gordon is eighth in the league in first-half rushing attempts with 27 and 25th in the league with 17 second-half carries.
  • San Diego has run 88.1% (178/202) of their plays this season while trailing, highest rate in the league.
  • The Browns have allowed a top-10 back and a 90-yard rusher every week so far.
  • Cleveland is allowing 4.7 red zone trips per game, 30th in the league.

Trust: Melvin Gordon (potential game script, matchup all lining up to make this a week he hits), Keenan Allen (Brandon Marshall and Amari Cooper each have done work against Cleveland)

Bust: Isaiah Crowell (big road dog with a low team total is never an endearing quality for a banger in a committee), Stevie Johnson (a few touchdowns have masked consistent low volume), Travis Benjamin (hyper-efficient on low volume then inefficient on heavy volume, I still don’t trust what is going on here), Ladarius Green

Reasonable Return: Philip Rivers (lack of vertical passing is a concern, but a solid home favorite), Duke Johnson (has been progressively seeing more time and receptions are coming), Danny Woodhead (this spot sets up for Gordon to thrive, but if Woodhead is the red zone worker as he’s been, there will be scoring chances here)

Minnesota vs. Denver

Vikings @ Broncos
6.5 Spread -6.5
17.5 Team O/U 24.5
56.7 Plays/Gm 67.0
69.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.0
52.9% Rush % 32.8%
47.1% Pass % 67.2%
39.9% Opp. Rush % 38.3%
60.1% Opp. Pass % 61.8%
  • Peyton Manning is averaging just 5.9 yards per attempt. His lowest season-long total is 6.5 yards per attempt in his rookie season.
  • Denver is averaging just 4.3 yards per play on offense, lowest in the league.
  • Denver is also allowing just 4.4 yards per play on defense, lowest in the league.
  • Opposing offenses have converted just six of 32 third downs against Denver through three weeks, lowest percentage in the league.
  • Owen Daniels is last in yards per target at 3.2 yards for all tight ends with double-digit targets.
  • Just 24 of Teddy Bridgewater‘s 74 attempts have come 10 yards or further downfield.
  • Bridgewater’s fantasy weeks so far have been QB28, QB20 and QB33. Opposing quarterbacks versus Denver so far have been QB35, QB33 and QB25.
  • There have been just 16 100-yard rushing games through three weeks. Only Adrian Peterson has done it twice.
  • 49.1 percent of the Minnesota yards are on the ground, highest reliance on the run in the league.

Trust: Emmanuel Sanders (so much for the step back in production, on pace for 117-1,275-11 and gets the better of cornerback matchups)

Bust: Teddy Bridgewater (the Denver pass rush against the Minny line and the Bronco defensive backs against the Viking receivers isn’t inspiring), Mike Wallace, Charles Johnson, Owen Daniels (thoroughly convinced his legs are made of concrete at this stage and will see Harrison Smith), C.J. Anderson (held a snap share lead last week, but this offense is built to for intermediate passing to be its run game at this stage of the season)

Reasonable Return: Adrian Peterson (has been there only offense, but this matchup is rough on paper and could force Minnesota into playing into their weakness), Demaryius Thomas (you’re never fading him, but I prefer Sanders this week), Peyton Manning (the weekly ceiling just isn’t here), Kyle Rudolph

Green Bay vs. San Francisco

Packers @ 49ers
-8.5 Spread 8.5
27.5 Team O/U 20
61.7 Plays/Gm 66.0
64.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 58.7
49.2% Rush % 50.0%
50.8% Pass % 50.0%
39.4% Opp. Rush % 44.9%
60.6% Opp. Pass % 55.1%
  • San Francisco has allowed at least 40 points in back to back games for the third time ever and for the first time since 2006. They’ve never allowed 40 points in three straight games in team history.
  • Colin Kaepernick‘s 67 passing yards last week were his lowest in his 42 games as a starter.
  • Kaepernick had the first four interception game on fewer than 20 pass attempts since Luke McCown in 2011.
  • After a 26 carry, 168 rushing yard performance Week 1, Carlos Hyde has 28 carries for 94 yards.
  • The 49ers have 22 possessions over the past two weeks with an average point differential of them trailing by 21.5 points per drive.
  • Aaron Rodgers‘ 10 passing touchdowns are the most in his career through three weeks.
  • Randall Cobb leads all receivers in touchdowns inside of the 10-yard line in 2014 with eight. He’s tied with Larry Fitzgerald for tops already in 2015 with four.
  • The 49ers have allowed 15 pass plays of 20 or more yards, tied with Oakland for the most in the league.

Trust: Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, Eddie Lacy, James Jones (get them all in everywhere)

Bust: Carlos Hyde (has become what we thought he’d be, dependent on game script weekly and this week sets up to be poor), Torrey Smith (three or fewer targets in two of three games), Vernon Davis

Reasonable Return: Colin Kaepernick (we have seen him stack late game points in a similar spot Week 2 against a defense that will allow yardage and Alex Smith do the same in the second half Monday, but that’s a risky proposition to play off of), Anquan Boldin

St. Louis vs. Arizona

Rams @ Cardinals
6.5 Spread -6.5
17.5 Team O/U 24.5
50.0 Plays/Gm 59.7
67.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 60.7
38.0% Rush % 50.3%
62.0% Pass % 49.7%
45.1% Opp. Rush % 42.3%
55.0% Opp. Pass % 57.7%
  • Larry Fitzgerald converted zero of his 12 red zone targets last season for TDs. Has already turned four of five this season into scores.
  • Chris Johnson has carried on 58.4 percent of his snaps, the highest mark of all running backs in the league.
  • 59.3 percent of the runs against the Rams have been stopped for two yards or less, highest rate in the league.
  • Arizona is the only team in the league that has yet to run a play while trailing this season.
  • St. Louis is allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 81.6 percent of their passes, highest in the league.
  • The Rams’ Week 3 backfield split was Benny Cunningham 30 snaps, Tre Mason 23 and Todd Gurley 14. Touches were Mason 10, Gurley seven and Cunningham three.
  • The Rams have scored a touchdown on just four of 32 possessions (12.5 percent), lowest percentage in the league.
  • Arizona is allowing just 23.9 yards per drive, lowest in the league.

Trust: Larry Fitzgerald (still one of the premier talents at the position with functional quarterback play)

Bust: Chris Johnson, All Rams running backs (who knows what will go on here for usage and the matchup is bad), Nick Foles (couldn’t exploit a light secondary at home, now gets a stiff one on the road)

Reasonable Return: Carson Palmer (the Rams have been generous for quarterback efficiency, but held their own on the fantasy side of allowing points. After facing three layups and against this pass rush, this offense will have to work a bit this week), John Brown, Jared Cook (has had monster weeks against the Cardinals before, but hardly someone you can bank on)

Dallas vs. New Orleans

Cowboys @ Saints
n/a Spread n/a
n/a Team O/U n/a
62.3 Plays/Gm 67.3
61.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 59.3
41.2% Rush % 35.2%
58.8% Pass % 64.9%
39.5% Opp. Rush % 50.6%
60.5% Opp. Pass % 49.4%
  • Joseph Randle has a touch on 62.8 percent of his snaps, highest rate in the league, but has played just 41 percent of the offensive snaps, 34th of all running backs.
  • Randle started last week off with nine carries for 91 yards. He finished the game with 14 carries for 87 yards.
  • 97 percent of Lance Dunbar‘s points have been receiving, highest percentage of any top-30 scoring back.
  • Dunbar leads all backs in targets (23), receptions (21) and receiving yards (215) and points-per-touch (1.90) out of all backs with 20 or more touches.
  • Brandin Cooks has seven receptions for 123 yards in the fourth quarter this season, nine receptions for 67 yards outside of it.
  • Out of all players with 15 or more targets, Mark Ingram (94.1 percent) and Lance Dunbar (91.3 percent) have the two highest catch rates.

Trust: Mark Ingram (the only proven usable piece of this offense weekly has been a top-16 scorer every week and Dallas proved a week ago they are still suspect to being beat on the ground), Lance Dunbar (he’s been rock solid weekly)

Bust: Brandin Cooks (not a part of the base offense at any point of the season to date), Luke McCown (played adequately, but far from fantasy-usable in what was best case output, if Drew Brees plays, he’s a mid-QB2), C.J. Spiller (maybe as a flier if Brees plays, but there’s no one you can trust outside of Ingram in this backfield)

Reasonable Return: Jason Witten (the Jarvis Landry of fantasy tight ends, take your seven catches for 65 yards home with you), Joseph Randle (showed you the floor and the ceiling, but the touches are still there and Dallas will be running while they can), Terrance Williams (should see his targets spike back up as he trades Desmond Trufant for a team that has allowed splash plays to Louis Murphy and Ted Ginn in back-to-back weeks), Brandon Weeden (played well when things were on track then played himself into a poor environment, but the Saints have been forgiving)

Detroit vs. Seattle

Lions @ Seahawks
10 Spread -10
17 Team O/U 27
61.7 Plays/Gm 66.3
65.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 55.0
27.6% Rush % 43.2%
72.4% Pass % 56.8%
46.2% Opp. Rush % 49.7%
53.8% Opp. Pass % 50.3%
  • Seattle has just two offensive plays that have gone for 25 yards or longer, tied with San Francisco for the fewest in the league.
  • Detroit has allowed five receptions and a touchdown to all three starting tight ends they’ve faced so far.
  • The Seahawks are tied with the Bears and Rams for fewest offensive touchdowns at four.
  • The Lions are allowing 5.3 red zone trips per game, most in the league.
  • Detroit has just two runs of 10 yards or longer the season, last in the league.
  • Matt Stafford on third down this season is 14-29 for 144 yards with no touchdowns and four interceptions.
  • Stafford has attempted just 12 passes of 15 or more yards downfield, which ranks 23rd in the league. He ranked eighth in the league on such attempts last year with 108.
  • Detroit is averaging just 17 rush attempts and 45 yards on the ground per game, both the lowest in the league.
  • Eric Ebron leads all tight ends in routes run at 38.3 per game and is just one of four tight ends to be a top-12 scorer every week so far this season.
  • Theo Riddick is the RB11 overall, but of his 15-144-1 receiving line, 13-116-1 have come in the fourth quarter.

Trust: Jimmy Graham (the squeaky wheel was fed last week and should be again)

Bust: Matt Stafford, Ameer Abdullah, Joique Bell, (still rotating when Abdullah and Riddick should have clear roles), Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin

Reasonable Return: Russell Wilson (pass protection has been a major hindrance for maintaining drives), Marshawn Lynch, Calvin Johnson (has put in two workman-like games in tough matchups the past two weeks), Theo Riddick (huge road dogs, recent usage and projected script suggest Riddick will be involved late), Eric Ebron (ditto to Riddick)

Context Key:

Trust = Set him in your lineups this week

Bust = Player to underperform season average

Reasonable Return = On par with seasonal average

Football Daily Dose: Dose: Freeman Jumps Coleman

Written by : Posted on September 29, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

While glancing over running backs before Monday night’s game between the Chiefs and Packers, it actually surprised me that Devonta Freeman was the overall RB1 in PPR. Jamaal Charles passed him with his three-touchdown night against Green Bay, but Freeman is a top-two running back through three weeks of the season. I don’t know many that saw this coming, and I certainly wasn’t one of them, as just last week I advised sitting Freeman against the Cowboys. Obviously, that backfired, but I thought it was a dumb play, even if Freeman was going to dominate touches in the backfield. I figured Julio Jones would dominate any scoring opportunities, and absolutely did not see the Falcons putting up that many points and running that many plays against what has been a stingy Dallas defense. Freeman tore it up with 193 total yards and three scores.

On Tuesday, the Falcons “unofficially” moved Freeman ahead of rookie Tevin Coleman on the depth chart. Coleman got the start Week 2 against the Giants, but had to leave early with a broken rib. Freeman is now the lead dog. I’m still having some trouble getting behind Freeman. He was averaging a pitiful 1.95 YPC on 22 carries between Weeks 1 and 2 before his Week 3 outburst. Freeman’s career YPC average remains a pedestrian 3.69 after last week. Freeman was a carry-over from the previous regime, while Coleman was handpicked by new OC Kyle Shanahan. Freeman has shown good chops as a pass catcher out of the backfield, and I think he settles in more as a FLEX option in PPR over the rest of the season. It might be a good time to sell high on the sophomore.

For everything NFL, check out Rotoworld’s Player News, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @NickMensio on Twitter.

In Other News…

Coach Bruce Arians said he expects Chris Johnson to still get 15-20 touches per game, even with Andre Ellington (knee) set to return this week against the Rams. Look for CJ2K to get the bulk of the work in Arizona’s backfield, with Ellington and rookie David Johnson mixing in behind him. Arians tends to get a little optimistic with his running backs touch totals, but it’s clear Johnson has made a strong impression since signing with Arizona. He’s the running back to own in Arizona at the moment, but is hard to trust as anything more than an RB2/FLEX option in a crowded backfield.

Crockett Gillmore had a monster 5-88-2 line against the Raiders in Week 2 to put himself on the fantasy map. He responded with three catches for 40 scoreless yards last week against the Bengals and hurt his calf midway through the game. Gillmore is expected to miss Thursday night’s Week 4 date with the division-rival Steelers, leaving rookie Maxx Williams atop the depth chart. With Rob Gronkowski and Delanie Walker on bye, Williams enters the TE1 picture. The Steelers have allowed the third-most fantasy points to tight ends through three weeks.

Drew Brees was forced to sit out Week 3 with his bruised rotator cuff. Initial reports are Brees is “very optimistic” that he’ll play this week against the Cowboys. He had a successful throwing session on Tuesday and plans to practice Wednesday. It’s still hard to trust Brees as a QB1 with a weakened arm and dull receiving corps. Expect plenty of Mark Ingram running the ball.

C.J. Anderson has battled toe, ankle, and head injuries the first three weeks of the season, forcing the Broncos to use more Ronnie Hillman and Juwan Thompson than they would like. On Tuesday, coach Gary Kubiak said the offense needs Anderson to stay on the field and make it through a game healthy. Anderson has just 74 scoreless yards on 32 carries (2.31 YPC) this season. The good news is Kubiak seems to remain committed to Anderson as his No. 1 back. He’ll have a favorable matchup this week at home against the Vikings, but Anderson, to this point, has been unable to take advantage of plus spots. Treat him as an RB2 this week until he proves otherwise.

The Miami Herald reports the Dolphins firing coach Joe Philbin in-season “remains a possibility.” The Dolphins squeaked by Washington in Week 1, lost a close one to Jacksonville in Week 2, and then got slaughtered by the division-rival Bills at home last week. Owner Stephen Ross passed on an opportunity to endorse Philbin for the remainder of this season, and players are reportedly grumbling about the length and intensity pf practices, as well as Philbin’s inability to motivate them.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Quarterback & Running Back Slants

The earliest the league’s appeal will be heard in the Tom Brady case is February 1. … Free agent Bryce Brown worked out for the Jets on Tuesday. … Free agent Montee Ball worked out for the Patriots. … Rams waived 2012 second-round RB Isaiah Pead. He contribute nothing across three-plus seasons. … Patriots waived RB Travaris Cadet. … DeMarco Murray (hamstring) appeared to be practicing Tuesday. … Coach Jim Tomsula expressed confidence in Colin Kaepernick. … Matt Cassel is picking up the Cowboys’ offense quickly. … Ben Roethlisberger (knee) said he has no firm timeline for recovery. … Bucs waived RB Mike James. … Coach Bill O’Brien praised Ryan Mallett’s Week 3 performance, saying Mallett showed improvement. … It’s possible Ryan Mathews has earned an increased offensive role with his Week 3 performance against the Jets. … Coach Jay Gruden expressed little concern over Matt Jones’ early ball-security issues, saying he won’t shy away from giving Jones the ball.

Wide Receiver & Tight End Slants

Coach Bruce Arians said the Cardinals made an effort to get Michael Floyd more involved in Week 3. After seeing just two total targets Weeks 1 and 2, Floyd was targeted five times against the 49ers. He was only able to reel in one, but Arizona wants Floyd to get “going.” … Andrew Luck has a 7.4 passer rating targeting Andre Johnson. He’s barely on the WR3 radar. … Breshad Perriman (knee) remains sidelined at Ravens practice. He won’t play Thursday night. … Packers blocking TE Andrew Quarless will miss 4-6 weeks with a sprained MCL. … Golden Tate said opposing defenses have been calling out the Lions’ plays before they run them. Detroit is off to an 0-3 start and have the lowest team total of Week 4 heading to Seattle for Monday Night Football. … The Titans plan to continue to integrate rookie Dorial Green-Beckham into the offense. … OC Bill Lazor said DeVante Parker is making progress and getting better every day. … Steelers backup TE Matt Spaeth has a broken hand. … The Giants worked out veteran free agents Wes Welker, Hakeem Nicks, and Chris Cooley on Tuesday. … The Lions aren’t targeting Calvin Johnson downfield much.

While glancing over running backs before Monday night’s game between the Chiefs and Packers, it actually surprised me that Devonta Freeman was the overall RB1 in PPR. Jamaal Charles passed him with his three-touchdown night against Green Bay, but Freeman is a top-two running back through three weeks of the season. I don’t know many that saw this coming, and I certainly wasn’t one of them, as just last week I advised sitting Freeman against the Cowboys. Obviously, that backfired, but I thought it was a dumb play, even if Freeman was going to dominate touches in the backfield. I figured Julio Jones would dominate any scoring opportunities, and absolutely did not see the Falcons putting up that many points and running that many plays against what has been a stingy Dallas defense. Freeman tore it up with 193 total yards and three scores.

On Tuesday, the Falcons “unofficially” moved Freeman ahead of rookie Tevin Coleman on the depth chart. Coleman got the start Week 2 against the Giants, but had to leave early with a broken rib. Freeman is now the lead dog. I’m still having some trouble getting behind Freeman. He was averaging a pitiful 1.95 YPC on 22 carries between Weeks 1 and 2 before his Week 3 outburst. Freeman’s career YPC average remains a pedestrian 3.69 after last week. Freeman was a carry-over from the previous regime, while Coleman was handpicked by new OC Kyle Shanahan. Freeman has shown good chops as a pass catcher out of the backfield, and I think he settles in more as a FLEX option in PPR over the rest of the season. It might be a good time to sell high on the sophomore.

For everything NFL, check out Rotoworld’s Player News, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @NickMensio on Twitter.

In Other News…

Coach Bruce Arians said he expects Chris Johnson to still get 15-20 touches per game, even with Andre Ellington (knee) set to return this week against the Rams. Look for CJ2K to get the bulk of the work in Arizona’s backfield, with Ellington and rookie David Johnson mixing in behind him. Arians tends to get a little optimistic with his running backs touch totals, but it’s clear Johnson has made a strong impression since signing with Arizona. He’s the running back to own in Arizona at the moment, but is hard to trust as anything more than an RB2/FLEX option in a crowded backfield.

Crockett Gillmore had a monster 5-88-2 line against the Raiders in Week 2 to put himself on the fantasy map. He responded with three catches for 40 scoreless yards last week against the Bengals and hurt his calf midway through the game. Gillmore is expected to miss Thursday night’s Week 4 date with the division-rival Steelers, leaving rookie Maxx Williams atop the depth chart. With Rob Gronkowski and Delanie Walker on bye, Williams enters the TE1 picture. The Steelers have allowed the third-most fantasy points to tight ends through three weeks.

Drew Brees was forced to sit out Week 3 with his bruised rotator cuff. Initial reports are Brees is “very optimistic” that he’ll play this week against the Cowboys. He had a successful throwing session on Tuesday and plans to practice Wednesday. It’s still hard to trust Brees as a QB1 with a weakened arm and dull receiving corps. Expect plenty of Mark Ingram running the ball.

C.J. Anderson has battled toe, ankle, and head injuries the first three weeks of the season, forcing the Broncos to use more Ronnie Hillman and Juwan Thompson than they would like. On Tuesday, coach Gary Kubiak said the offense needs Anderson to stay on the field and make it through a game healthy. Anderson has just 74 scoreless yards on 32 carries (2.31 YPC) this season. The good news is Kubiak seems to remain committed to Anderson as his No. 1 back. He’ll have a favorable matchup this week at home against the Vikings, but Anderson, to this point, has been unable to take advantage of plus spots. Treat him as an RB2 this week until he proves otherwise.

The Miami Herald reports the Dolphins firing coach Joe Philbin in-season “remains a possibility.” The Dolphins squeaked by Washington in Week 1, lost a close one to Jacksonville in Week 2, and then got slaughtered by the division-rival Bills at home last week. Owner Stephen Ross passed on an opportunity to endorse Philbin for the remainder of this season, and players are reportedly grumbling about the length and intensity pf practices, as well as Philbin’s inability to motivate them.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Quarterback & Running Back Slants

The earliest the league’s appeal will be heard in the Tom Brady case is February 1. … Free agent Bryce Brown worked out for the Jets on Tuesday. … Free agent Montee Ball worked out for the Patriots. … Rams waived 2012 second-round RB Isaiah Pead. He contribute nothing across three-plus seasons. … Patriots waived RB Travaris Cadet. … DeMarco Murray (hamstring) appeared to be practicing Tuesday. … Coach Jim Tomsula expressed confidence in Colin Kaepernick. … Matt Cassel is picking up the Cowboys’ offense quickly. … Ben Roethlisberger (knee) said he has no firm timeline for recovery. … Bucs waived RB Mike James. … Coach Bill O’Brien praised Ryan Mallett’s Week 3 performance, saying Mallett showed improvement. … It’s possible Ryan Mathews has earned an increased offensive role with his Week 3 performance against the Jets. … Coach Jay Gruden expressed little concern over Matt Jones’ early ball-security issues, saying he won’t shy away from giving Jones the ball.

Wide Receiver & Tight End Slants

Coach Bruce Arians said the Cardinals made an effort to get Michael Floyd more involved in Week 3. After seeing just two total targets Weeks 1 and 2, Floyd was targeted five times against the 49ers. He was only able to reel in one, but Arizona wants Floyd to get “going.” … Andrew Luck has a 7.4 passer rating targeting Andre Johnson. He’s barely on the WR3 radar. … Breshad Perriman (knee) remains sidelined at Ravens practice. He won’t play Thursday night. … Packers blocking TE Andrew Quarless will miss 4-6 weeks with a sprained MCL. … Golden Tate said opposing defenses have been calling out the Lions’ plays before they run them. Detroit is off to an 0-3 start and have the lowest team total of Week 4 heading to Seattle for Monday Night Football. … The Titans plan to continue to integrate rookie Dorial Green-Beckham into the offense. … OC Bill Lazor said DeVante Parker is making progress and getting better every day. … Steelers backup TE Matt Spaeth has a broken hand. … The Giants worked out veteran free agents Wes Welker, Hakeem Nicks, and Chris Cooley on Tuesday. … The Lions aren’t targeting Calvin Johnson downfield much.

Nick Mensio is a football writer for Rotoworld.com. The 2014 NFL season marks his third with Rotoworld. He can be found on Twitter at @NickMensio.
Email :Nick Mensio

Matchups: Matchup: Ravens @ Steelers

Written by : Posted on September 29, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Thursday Night Football

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

Ravens-Steelers has a pedestrian 44-point Vegas total with visiting Baltimore favored by 2.5. Despite a modest team total of just over 23 points, the Ravens’ passing game is in a quality Week 4 spot. Joe Flacco faced the Steelers three times last season, completing 69-of-103 throws (67%) for 728 yards (7.07 YPA) with a 6:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Pittsburgh’s pass defense has remained leaky this year, yielding six touchdown passes and one interception with a 72.6% combined completion rate to Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, and Nick Foles. Football Outsiders has graded Pittsburgh with the NFL’s No. 26 pass defense in DVOA, compared to No. 4 in run defense. Baltimore quietly ranks No. 8 in the league in passing yards through three games. Flacco is a top-12 QB1 play with upside on Thursday night. … Justin Forsett gets a tougher draw. In Weeks 1-3, the Steelers held Patriots, 49ers, and Rams running backs to 167 scoreless yards on 60 carries (2.78 YPC). With Lorenzo Taliaferro and rookie Buck Allen continuing to steal snaps and touches, Forsett has yet to top 15 carries in a game. He’s stayed active with four receptions in each of the first three weeks, but is averaging under four yards a catch. As Taliaferro remains the favorite for goal-line work in Baltimore’s backfield, Forsett is best viewed as a low-upside RB2 against an upper-echelon run defense on the road.

Flacco’s target distribution in Weeks 1-3: Steve Smith Sr. 40; Forsett 18; Crockett Gillmore 13; Kamar Aiken and Marlon Brown 11; Maxx Williams 10; Kyle Juszczyk 8; Taliaferro and Michael Campanaro 4. … Pittsburgh has coughed up stat lines of 7-102 (Kenny Britt), 6-120-1 (Torrey Smith), 6-60-1 (Anquan Boldin), and 11-97 (Julian Edelman) to enemy wide receivers so far this season. Dominating targets and stuffing the stat sheet, Smith has an exciting outlook as a WR2 play. Smith caught at least five passes in each of last season’s three meetings with the Steelers. … With Gillmore (calf) not expected to play, second-round rookie Williams is worth a serious look as a TE1 streamer. When Gillmore was hobbled in last week’s loss to the Bengals, Williams piled up seven targets and logged a season-high 51% of the snaps. I’d expect Williams to play upwards of 75% of the downs on Thursday night. Pittsburgh has allowed the NFL’s third most fantasy points to tight ends. … Supporting-cast receivers Aiken, Brown, and Campanaro have given the Ravens very little early in the season. Aiken is playing the most snaps, but finished Week 1 with -1 receiving yards and last week with a goose egg. The minute Breshad Perriman overcomes his PCL injury, he should be counted on for a meaningful role. Perriman is worth stashing in 12- and 14-team fantasy leagues with Smith Sr. also likely to slow down over the course of his age-36 season.

Missing Ben Roethlisberger (MCL), Martavis Bryant (suspension), and Maurkice Pouncey (ankle), Pittsburgh’s Week 4 team total is under 21 points. … The Steelers’ offense figures to become extremely Le’Veon Bell-centric in the absence of Big Ben, feeding its top playmaker heavy volume. It began in last week’s win over St. Louis, with DeAngelo Williams only playing five snaps and logging one touch. Le’Veon returned to handle 95% of the downs, parlaying 26 touches into 132 yards with a one-yard goal-line plunge. In four career meetings with the Ravens, Bell has averaged 100 total yards per game and 4.38 yards per carry, scoring twice. While Le’Veon is a shoo-in top-five RB1 play, his rushing matchup will be difficult against a Baltimore defense that held Broncos, Raiders, and Bengals RBs to 214 yards and one score on 66 runs (3.24 YPC) in Weeks 1-3. … Michael Vick has made 19 appearances (9 starts) between the Eagles, Jets, and Steelers over the past three seasons, completing 54.5% of his throws with an 8:5 TD-to-INT ratio and two rushing scores. He’s fumbled ten times, losing four. At this stage of his career, 35-year-old Vick plays like a player who is overly confident in his diminishing athletic ability, and not confident whatsoever in his pocket-quarterbacking skills. While it would require an immense leap of faith to stream Vick as a QB1, it should be noted that Derek Carr and Andy Dalton combined to light up Baltimore for 50-of-78 passing (64.1%), 734 yards (9.41 YPA), and a 6:2 TD-to-INT ratio the last two weeks. The Terrell Suggs-less Ravens sacked Peyton Manning four times in Week 1, but have three sacks in two games since. Vick should have opportunities to make plays in the passing game against Baltimore. I’m just skeptical he’ll make the most of them.

Vick’s target distribution off the bench in Week 3: Bell 3; Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton, and Darrius Heyward-Bey 1. … Devoid of pass rush and tissue soft on the backend, Baltimore has coughed up stat lines of 10-227-2 (A.J. Green), 9-111-1 (Michael Crabtree), 7-109-1 (Amari Cooper), and 5-94-1 (Marvin Jones) to enemy wideouts over the last two weeks. The Ben-to-Vick downgrade is massive for the outlook of Brown, but the matchup is favorable and Brown won’t stop being the Steelers’ first read on passing plays. Brown has seven or more catches in 15 straight games and 18 of his last 19. I’m interested to see whether he can keep his streaks alive during Ben’s 4-6 week absence. Including playoffs, Brown went 7-90, 11-144-1, and 9-117 in last year’s three games against the Ravens. … Complementary receivers Wheaton and DHB were barely factors before Roethlisberger went down. They’re entirely off the fantasy radar now. … The Ravens held Broncos tight ends to a combined 2-5-0 line in Week 1, Raiders tight ends to 5-25-0 in Week 2, and previously red-hot Tyler Eifert to a goose egg in Week 3. Heath Miller will be hard pressed to find any passing-game rhythm with the erratic and improvisational play of Vick. Look toward Sunday and Monday’s slate for better lower-end TE1 options than Miller. I’d play Maxx Williams over him in this particular game.

Score Prediction: Ravens 24, Steelers 17

Thursday Night Football

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

Ravens-Steelers has a pedestrian 44-point Vegas total with visiting Baltimore favored by 2.5. Despite a modest team total of just over 23 points, the Ravens’ passing game is in a quality Week 4 spot. Joe Flacco faced the Steelers three times last season, completing 69-of-103 throws (67%) for 728 yards (7.07 YPA) with a 6:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Pittsburgh’s pass defense has remained leaky this year, yielding six touchdown passes and one interception with a 72.6% combined completion rate to Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, and Nick Foles. Football Outsiders has graded Pittsburgh with the NFL’s No. 26 pass defense in DVOA, compared to No. 4 in run defense. Baltimore quietly ranks No. 8 in the league in passing yards through three games. Flacco is a top-12 QB1 play with upside on Thursday night. … Justin Forsett gets a tougher draw. In Weeks 1-3, the Steelers held Patriots, 49ers, and Rams running backs to 167 scoreless yards on 60 carries (2.78 YPC). With Lorenzo Taliaferro and rookie Buck Allen continuing to steal snaps and touches, Forsett has yet to top 15 carries in a game. He’s stayed active with four receptions in each of the first three weeks, but is averaging under four yards a catch. As Taliaferro remains the favorite for goal-line work in Baltimore’s backfield, Forsett is best viewed as a low-upside RB2 against an upper-echelon run defense on the road.

Flacco’s target distribution in Weeks 1-3: Steve Smith Sr. 40; Forsett 18; Crockett Gillmore 13; Kamar Aiken and Marlon Brown 11; Maxx Williams 10; Kyle Juszczyk 8; Taliaferro and Michael Campanaro 4. … Pittsburgh has coughed up stat lines of 7-102 (Kenny Britt), 6-120-1 (Torrey Smith), 6-60-1 (Anquan Boldin), and 11-97 (Julian Edelman) to enemy wide receivers so far this season. Dominating targets and stuffing the stat sheet, Smith has an exciting outlook as a WR2 play. Smith caught at least five passes in each of last season’s three meetings with the Steelers. … With Gillmore (calf) not expected to play, second-round rookie Williams is worth a serious look as a TE1 streamer. When Gillmore was hobbled in last week’s loss to the Bengals, Williams piled up seven targets and logged a season-high 51% of the snaps. I’d expect Williams to play upwards of 75% of the downs on Thursday night. Pittsburgh has allowed the NFL’s third most fantasy points to tight ends. … Supporting-cast receivers Aiken, Brown, and Campanaro have given the Ravens very little early in the season. Aiken is playing the most snaps, but finished Week 1 with -1 receiving yards and last week with a goose egg. The minute Breshad Perriman overcomes his PCL injury, he should be counted on for a meaningful role. Perriman is worth stashing in 12- and 14-team fantasy leagues with Smith Sr. also likely to slow down over the course of his age-36 season.

Missing Ben Roethlisberger (MCL), Martavis Bryant (suspension), and Maurkice Pouncey (ankle), Pittsburgh’s Week 4 team total is under 21 points. … The Steelers’ offense figures to become extremely Le’Veon Bell-centric in the absence of Big Ben, feeding its top playmaker heavy volume. It began in last week’s win over St. Louis, with DeAngelo Williams only playing five snaps and logging one touch. Le’Veon returned to handle 95% of the downs, parlaying 26 touches into 132 yards with a one-yard goal-line plunge. In four career meetings with the Ravens, Bell has averaged 100 total yards per game and 4.38 yards per carry, scoring twice. While Le’Veon is a shoo-in top-five RB1 play, his rushing matchup will be difficult against a Baltimore defense that held Broncos, Raiders, and Bengals RBs to 214 yards and one score on 66 runs (3.24 YPC) in Weeks 1-3. … Michael Vick has made 19 appearances (9 starts) between the Eagles, Jets, and Steelers over the past three seasons, completing 54.5% of his throws with an 8:5 TD-to-INT ratio and two rushing scores. He’s fumbled ten times, losing four. At this stage of his career, 35-year-old Vick plays like a player who is overly confident in his diminishing athletic ability, and not confident whatsoever in his pocket-quarterbacking skills. While it would require an immense leap of faith to stream Vick as a QB1, it should be noted that Derek Carr and Andy Dalton combined to light up Baltimore for 50-of-78 passing (64.1%), 734 yards (9.41 YPA), and a 6:2 TD-to-INT ratio the last two weeks. The Terrell Suggs-less Ravens sacked Peyton Manning four times in Week 1, but have three sacks in two games since. Vick should have opportunities to make plays in the passing game against Baltimore. I’m just skeptical he’ll make the most of them.

Vick’s target distribution off the bench in Week 3: Bell 3; Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton, and Darrius Heyward-Bey 1. … Devoid of pass rush and tissue soft on the backend, Baltimore has coughed up stat lines of 10-227-2 (A.J. Green), 9-111-1 (Michael Crabtree), 7-109-1 (Amari Cooper), and 5-94-1 (Marvin Jones) to enemy wideouts over the last two weeks. The Ben-to-Vick downgrade is massive for the outlook of Brown, but the matchup is favorable and Brown won’t stop being the Steelers’ first read on passing plays. Brown has seven or more catches in 15 straight games and 18 of his last 19. I’m interested to see whether he can keep his streaks alive during Ben’s 4-6 week absence. Including playoffs, Brown went 7-90, 11-144-1, and 9-117 in last year’s three games against the Ravens. … Complementary receivers Wheaton and DHB were barely factors before Roethlisberger went down. They’re entirely off the fantasy radar now. … The Ravens held Broncos tight ends to a combined 2-5-0 line in Week 1, Raiders tight ends to 5-25-0 in Week 2, and previously red-hot Tyler Eifert to a goose egg in Week 3. Heath Miller will be hard pressed to find any passing-game rhythm with the erratic and improvisational play of Vick. Look toward Sunday and Monday’s slate for better lower-end TE1 options than Miller. I’d play Maxx Williams over him in this particular game.

Score Prediction: Ravens 24, Steelers 17

Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
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Targets and Touches: Week 4 AFC Targets and Touches

Written by : Posted on September 29, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

With Week 3 officially in the books, it’s time to review opportunity data for the week. Note: if a player has an asterisk next to a number in their data set, that indicates the player was injured during the game. Also, this data will stick to fantasy relevant players meaning that running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends that only see one target or touch per-game will not be included.

Let’s get to it.

Editor’s Note: Stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld Player News page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @GrahamBarfield on Twitter.

Baltimore Ravens

 

Targets: Steve Smith (Week 1: 7, Week 2: 16, Week 3: 17), Justin Forsett (7, 4, 7), Crockett Gillmore (4, 6, 3), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 3, 1), Kamar Aiken (3, 7, 1), Marlon Brown (2, 4, 5), Maxx Williams (2, 1, 7)

RB Touches: Justin Forsett (18, 19, 14), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 10, 4), Buck Allen (10, 2, 3)

Red zone Targets: Steve Smith (2, 3, 2), Crockett Gillmore (1, 2, 0), Justin Forsett (1, 0, 0), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 2, 0), Michael Campanaro (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Justin Forsett (0, 5, 0) and Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At (via PFF): Jimmy Smith 11, 7, 10 (Allowed: 7 -60, 4-62-1, 7-126-1), Lardarius Webb 5, 10, 3 (2-24, 5-90-1, 1-9-0), Kyle Arrington 6, 6, 3 (6-42, 6-56-1, 3-46-0),

Analysis: Steve Smith is 36-years-old. He is not playing like his age should indicate. He blasted one of the best secondaries in the league (Bengals) for 13-186-2 on 17 targets in Week 3 after dropping 10-150-0 on the Raiders the week before. The Ravens face the leaky Pittsburgh secondary on the road in Week 4.

It’s time to change expectations for Justin Forsett. He’s a mid-RB2 on a less-than-explosive offense in fantasy just based on volume for the time being. He’s averaging 3.2 yards per tote on his 39 carries thus far and the only thing elevating his PPR floor is his six targets per-game.

Buffalo Bills

 

Targets: Sammy Watkins (3, 8, 2*), Percy Harvin (5, 5, 8), LeSean McCoy (4, 3, 3), Charles Clay (4, 6, 7), Robert Woods (2, 3, 5), Karlos Williams (0, 2, 0), Chris Hogan (0, 1, 4)

RB Touches: LeSean McCoy (20, 18, 12) and Karlos Williams (6, 8, 12)

Red zone Targets: Charles Clay (0, 1, 0), LeSean McCoy (0, 0, 1), Percy Harvin, Chris Hogan (0, 1, 1)

Red zone Carries: LeSean McCoy (3, 2, 1) and Karlos Williams (1, 2, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Stephon Gilmore 15, 13, 6 (7-110, 8-57-1, 3-66-1), Ronald Darby 7, 9, 11 (5-41, 3-48, 4-51), Nickell Robey 8, 6, 4 (5-31, 5-72, 3-37)

Analysis: Sammy Watkins (calf) left the Bills’ Week 3 game against Miami and HC Rex Ryan indicated Watkins could miss Week 4 on Monday. It’s a situation to monitor closely. Speaking of situations to monitor, Karlos Williams has earned a bigger role in the Bills’ offense. He’s averaging 7.8 yards per carry (on 24 carries) through Week 3 and 72 of his 186 rushing yards have come after contact. Williams will likely be the starter in Week 4 as LeSean McCoy is nursing a hamstring strain.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Cincinnati Bengals

Targets: A.J. Green (8, 4, 13), Tyler Eifert (12, 5, 3), Jeremy Hill (0, 1, 0), Giovani Bernard (6, 3, 4), Marvin Jones (3, 5, 8), Mohamed Sanu (3, 2, 4)

RB Touches: Jeremy Hill (19, 11, 12) and Gio Bernard (14, 23, 16)

Red zone Targets: A.J. Green (2, 2, 3), Tyler Eifert (2, 2, 2), Mohamed Sanu (1, 1, 2), Gio Bernard (1, 0, 0), Marvin Jones (1, 2, 2)

Red zone Carries: Jeremy Hill (8, 0, 4), Gio Bernard (2, 6, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Dre Kirkpatrick 7, 5, 8 (3-31, 4-67-1, 4-53-1), Adam Jones 7, 7, 5 (5-42, 5-47, 4-36), Leon Hall 5, 3, 3 (3-5, 2-14, 3-33)

Analysis: Through Week 3, the Bengals have run the most plays in the red zone (53) in the league. As mentioned last week, Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill are in a fairly direct time-share for now. Bernard and Hill both have 41 carries on the year – Bernard is averaging 5.7 yards per carry while Hill is averaging 3.0 YPC.  Bernard has also out-snapped Hill (96:46) over the past two weeks and both are RB2’s in fantasy until further notice. After seeing 12 total targets in Week 1 and 2 combined, A.J. Green received 13 looks in Week 3 and made the most of them posting an otherworldly 10-227-2 receiving line.

Cleveland Browns

 

Targets: Andrew Hawkins (6, 4, 6), Travis Benjamin (3, 4, 10), Brian Hartline (5, 3, 7), Gary Barnidge (5, 1, 10), Taylor Gabriel (4, 1, 5), Isaiah Crowell (2, 0, 0), Duke Johnson (0, 0, 7)

RB Touches: Isaiah Crowell (14, 15, 10) and Duke Johnson (7, 12, 10)

Red zone Targets: Andrew Hawkins (1, 0, 2), Gary Barnidge (0, 0, 2), Taylor Gabriel (0, 0, 1), Travis Benjamin (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Isaiah Crowell (2, 2, 3)

CBs Thrown At: Joe Haden 7, 8, 6 (6-99-1, 3-34-1, 6-87) and Tramon Williams 5, 5, 7 (3-19, 3-37, 3-26)

Analysis: At this point, we all know what the Browns’ offense is for fantasy purposes. Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell have split snaps (90:89) through two weeks and will continue to eat into each other’s production unless one emerges with a bigger slice of the workload and snap-share.

Denver Broncos

 

Targets: Emmanuel Sanders (12, 14, 9), Demaryius Thomas (11, 14, 13), C.J. Anderson (8, 1, 1) Jordan Norwood (5, 5, 3) Owen Daniels (2, 5, 9), Virgil Green (1, 3, 1), Ronnie Hillman (0, 1, 1), Bennie Fowler (0, 0, 4)

RB Touches: C.J. Anderson (16, 13, 9) and Ronnie Hillman (12, 9, 8)

Red zone Targets: Demaryius Thomas (0, 0, 0) Emmanuel Sanders (0, 2, 0), Owen Daniels (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: C.J. Anderson (0, 0, 4) and Ronnie Hillman (1, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Chris Harris Jr. 5, 4, 4 (4-13, 4-58, 3-20), Aqib Talib 4, 5, 9 (2-25, 1-7, 7-70), Bradley Roby 3, 0, 3 (2-11, 0-0, 1-5)

Analysis: The Broncos passing game is simple to diagnose: Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders will be fed voluminously and routinely while Denver is still searching for a viable third target.

Denver’s run game is a little more suspect. C.J. Anderson is averaging 2.3 yards per carry (32 attempts) while Ronnie Hillman isn’t lighting the world on fire with his 3.1 YPC (28 attempts) either. Anderson is the clear leader in snaps (134:72) over Hillman but clearly neither back has made much headway yet. Denver seemingly wants Anderson to be “the guy” but it’s tough to take a strong stance on the situation at this point. However, Denver’s schedule opens up in next three weeks, as they face Minnesota, Oakland, and Cleveland all of whom have below average run-stopping units.

Houston Texans

 

Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (13, 11, 14), Nate Washington (11, 8, 9), Cecil Shorts (8, 12, 9), Alfred Blue (2, 1, 0), Jonathan Grimes (2, 7, 4), Chris Polk (1, 8, 0), Garrett Graham (1, 5, 1)

RB Touches: Alfred Blue (10, 6, 31), Jonathan Grimes (7, 2, 10), Chris Polk (6, 16, 5)

Red zone Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (4, 2, 1), Cecil Shorts (1, 3, 0), Nate Washington (1, 1, 1), Garrett Graham (0, 1, 0)

Red zone Carries: Jonathan Grimes (2, 0, 0), Chris Polk (1, 1, 0), Alfred Blue (1, 0, 5)

CBs Thrown At: Kareem Jackson 6, 7, 9 (6-52-1, 5-44, 6-117), Johnathan Joseph 5, 9, 12 (2-11, 5-74-1, 2-24), Kevin Johnson 0, 3, 5 (0-0, 1-2, 4-74-1)

Analysis: Until Arian Foster returns in (likely) the next two weeks, there really is not much analysis needed here. DeAndre Hopkins is a target hog whose production will be fairly high variance just because of the offense’s overall inefficiency; and Houston will continue to rotate backs between Alfred Blue, Chris Polk, and Jonathan Grimes until Foster returns.

Indianapolis Colts

 

Targets: T.Y. Hilton (14, 7, 7), Donte Moncrief (11, 8, 7), Frank Gore (3, 1, 2), Andre Johnson (10, 7, 1), Dwayne Allen (6, 0, 0), Phillip Dorsett (3, 6, 3), Coby Fleener (1, 0, 6)

RB Touches: Frank Gore (10, 16, 15) and Josh Robinson (4, 10, 2)

Red zone Targets: T.Y. Hilton (2, 2, 0), Andre Johnson (2, 0, 0), Donte Moncrief (2, 0, 1), Dwayne Allen (2, 0, 0)

Red zone Carries: Frank Gore (0, 4, 3) and Josh Robinson (2, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Vontae Davis 2, 7, 6 (0-0, 4-53-1, 4-50-1) and Jalil Brown 1, 9, 8 (1-3, 8-108-1, 4-44)

Analysis: It’s pretty clear the Donte Moncrief is the Colts’ No. 2 WR from here on out. I was one of those that believed Andre Johnson wasn’t done yet, but that has clearly been proven incorrect. Moncrief has usurped Johnson on Andrew Luck’s target totem pole and it may just be a matter of time before rookie Philip Dorsett is knocking on the door for Johnson’s No. 3 WR job.

With Week 3 officially in the books, it’s time to review opportunity data for the week. Note: if a player has an asterisk next to a number in their data set, that indicates the player was injured during the game. Also, this data will stick to fantasy relevant players meaning that running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends that only see one target or touch per-game will not be included.

Let’s get to it.

Editor’s Note: Stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld Player News page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @GrahamBarfield on Twitter.

Baltimore Ravens

 

Targets: Steve Smith (Week 1: 7, Week 2: 16, Week 3: 17), Justin Forsett (7, 4, 7), Crockett Gillmore (4, 6, 3), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 3, 1), Kamar Aiken (3, 7, 1), Marlon Brown (2, 4, 5), Maxx Williams (2, 1, 7)

RB Touches: Justin Forsett (18, 19, 14), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 10, 4), Buck Allen (10, 2, 3)

Red zone Targets: Steve Smith (2, 3, 2), Crockett Gillmore (1, 2, 0), Justin Forsett (1, 0, 0), Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 2, 0), Michael Campanaro (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Justin Forsett (0, 5, 0) and Lorenzo Taliaferro (0, 1, 1)

CBs Thrown At (via PFF): Jimmy Smith 11, 7, 10 (Allowed: 7 -60, 4-62-1, 7-126-1), Lardarius Webb 5, 10, 3 (2-24, 5-90-1, 1-9-0), Kyle Arrington 6, 6, 3 (6-42, 6-56-1, 3-46-0),

Analysis: Steve Smith is 36-years-old. He is not playing like his age should indicate. He blasted one of the best secondaries in the league (Bengals) for 13-186-2 on 17 targets in Week 3 after dropping 10-150-0 on the Raiders the week before. The Ravens face the leaky Pittsburgh secondary on the road in Week 4.

It’s time to change expectations for Justin Forsett. He’s a mid-RB2 on a less-than-explosive offense in fantasy just based on volume for the time being. He’s averaging 3.2 yards per tote on his 39 carries thus far and the only thing elevating his PPR floor is his six targets per-game.

Buffalo Bills

 

Targets: Sammy Watkins (3, 8, 2*), Percy Harvin (5, 5, 8), LeSean McCoy (4, 3, 3), Charles Clay (4, 6, 7), Robert Woods (2, 3, 5), Karlos Williams (0, 2, 0), Chris Hogan (0, 1, 4)

RB Touches: LeSean McCoy (20, 18, 12) and Karlos Williams (6, 8, 12)

Red zone Targets: Charles Clay (0, 1, 0), LeSean McCoy (0, 0, 1), Percy Harvin, Chris Hogan (0, 1, 1)

Red zone Carries: LeSean McCoy (3, 2, 1) and Karlos Williams (1, 2, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Stephon Gilmore 15, 13, 6 (7-110, 8-57-1, 3-66-1), Ronald Darby 7, 9, 11 (5-41, 3-48, 4-51), Nickell Robey 8, 6, 4 (5-31, 5-72, 3-37)

Analysis: Sammy Watkins (calf) left the Bills’ Week 3 game against Miami and HC Rex Ryan indicated Watkins could miss Week 4 on Monday. It’s a situation to monitor closely. Speaking of situations to monitor, Karlos Williams has earned a bigger role in the Bills’ offense. He’s averaging 7.8 yards per carry (on 24 carries) through Week 3 and 72 of his 186 rushing yards have come after contact. Williams will likely be the starter in Week 4 as LeSean McCoy is nursing a hamstring strain.

Editor’s Note: Play against our writers in the Rotoworld Football Championship – a series of one-week fantasy contests on FanDuel with $20K in FREE prizes! Enter the Week 4 contest before it fills.

Cincinnati Bengals

Targets: A.J. Green (8, 4, 13), Tyler Eifert (12, 5, 3), Jeremy Hill (0, 1, 0), Giovani Bernard (6, 3, 4), Marvin Jones (3, 5, 8), Mohamed Sanu (3, 2, 4)

RB Touches: Jeremy Hill (19, 11, 12) and Gio Bernard (14, 23, 16)

Red zone Targets: A.J. Green (2, 2, 3), Tyler Eifert (2, 2, 2), Mohamed Sanu (1, 1, 2), Gio Bernard (1, 0, 0), Marvin Jones (1, 2, 2)

Red zone Carries: Jeremy Hill (8, 0, 4), Gio Bernard (2, 6, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Dre Kirkpatrick 7, 5, 8 (3-31, 4-67-1, 4-53-1), Adam Jones 7, 7, 5 (5-42, 5-47, 4-36), Leon Hall 5, 3, 3 (3-5, 2-14, 3-33)

Analysis: Through Week 3, the Bengals have run the most plays in the red zone (53) in the league. As mentioned last week, Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill are in a fairly direct time-share for now. Bernard and Hill both have 41 carries on the year – Bernard is averaging 5.7 yards per carry while Hill is averaging 3.0 YPC.  Bernard has also out-snapped Hill (96:46) over the past two weeks and both are RB2’s in fantasy until further notice. After seeing 12 total targets in Week 1 and 2 combined, A.J. Green received 13 looks in Week 3 and made the most of them posting an otherworldly 10-227-2 receiving line.

Cleveland Browns

 

Targets: Andrew Hawkins (6, 4, 6), Travis Benjamin (3, 4, 10), Brian Hartline (5, 3, 7), Gary Barnidge (5, 1, 10), Taylor Gabriel (4, 1, 5), Isaiah Crowell (2, 0, 0), Duke Johnson (0, 0, 7)

RB Touches: Isaiah Crowell (14, 15, 10) and Duke Johnson (7, 12, 10)

Red zone Targets: Andrew Hawkins (1, 0, 2), Gary Barnidge (0, 0, 2), Taylor Gabriel (0, 0, 1), Travis Benjamin (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Isaiah Crowell (2, 2, 3)

CBs Thrown At: Joe Haden 7, 8, 6 (6-99-1, 3-34-1, 6-87) and Tramon Williams 5, 5, 7 (3-19, 3-37, 3-26)

Analysis: At this point, we all know what the Browns’ offense is for fantasy purposes. Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell have split snaps (90:89) through two weeks and will continue to eat into each other’s production unless one emerges with a bigger slice of the workload and snap-share.

Denver Broncos

 

Targets: Emmanuel Sanders (12, 14, 9), Demaryius Thomas (11, 14, 13), C.J. Anderson (8, 1, 1) Jordan Norwood (5, 5, 3) Owen Daniels (2, 5, 9), Virgil Green (1, 3, 1), Ronnie Hillman (0, 1, 1), Bennie Fowler (0, 0, 4)

RB Touches: C.J. Anderson (16, 13, 9) and Ronnie Hillman (12, 9, 8)

Red zone Targets: Demaryius Thomas (0, 0, 0) Emmanuel Sanders (0, 2, 0), Owen Daniels (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: C.J. Anderson (0, 0, 4) and Ronnie Hillman (1, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Chris Harris Jr. 5, 4, 4 (4-13, 4-58, 3-20), Aqib Talib 4, 5, 9 (2-25, 1-7, 7-70), Bradley Roby 3, 0, 3 (2-11, 0-0, 1-5)

Analysis: The Broncos passing game is simple to diagnose: Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders will be fed voluminously and routinely while Denver is still searching for a viable third target.

Denver’s run game is a little more suspect. C.J. Anderson is averaging 2.3 yards per carry (32 attempts) while Ronnie Hillman isn’t lighting the world on fire with his 3.1 YPC (28 attempts) either. Anderson is the clear leader in snaps (134:72) over Hillman but clearly neither back has made much headway yet. Denver seemingly wants Anderson to be “the guy” but it’s tough to take a strong stance on the situation at this point. However, Denver’s schedule opens up in next three weeks, as they face Minnesota, Oakland, and Cleveland all of whom have below average run-stopping units.

Houston Texans

 

Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (13, 11, 14), Nate Washington (11, 8, 9), Cecil Shorts (8, 12, 9), Alfred Blue (2, 1, 0), Jonathan Grimes (2, 7, 4), Chris Polk (1, 8, 0), Garrett Graham (1, 5, 1)

RB Touches: Alfred Blue (10, 6, 31), Jonathan Grimes (7, 2, 10), Chris Polk (6, 16, 5)

Red zone Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (4, 2, 1), Cecil Shorts (1, 3, 0), Nate Washington (1, 1, 1), Garrett Graham (0, 1, 0)

Red zone Carries: Jonathan Grimes (2, 0, 0), Chris Polk (1, 1, 0), Alfred Blue (1, 0, 5)

CBs Thrown At: Kareem Jackson 6, 7, 9 (6-52-1, 5-44, 6-117), Johnathan Joseph 5, 9, 12 (2-11, 5-74-1, 2-24), Kevin Johnson 0, 3, 5 (0-0, 1-2, 4-74-1)

Analysis: Until Arian Foster returns in (likely) the next two weeks, there really is not much analysis needed here. DeAndre Hopkins is a target hog whose production will be fairly high variance just because of the offense’s overall inefficiency; and Houston will continue to rotate backs between Alfred Blue, Chris Polk, and Jonathan Grimes until Foster returns.

Indianapolis Colts

 

Targets: T.Y. Hilton (14, 7, 7), Donte Moncrief (11, 8, 7), Frank Gore (3, 1, 2), Andre Johnson (10, 7, 1), Dwayne Allen (6, 0, 0), Phillip Dorsett (3, 6, 3), Coby Fleener (1, 0, 6)

RB Touches: Frank Gore (10, 16, 15) and Josh Robinson (4, 10, 2)

Red zone Targets: T.Y. Hilton (2, 2, 0), Andre Johnson (2, 0, 0), Donte Moncrief (2, 0, 1), Dwayne Allen (2, 0, 0)

Red zone Carries: Frank Gore (0, 4, 3) and Josh Robinson (2, 2, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Vontae Davis 2, 7, 6 (0-0, 4-53-1, 4-50-1) and Jalil Brown 1, 9, 8 (1-3, 8-108-1, 4-44)

Analysis: It’s pretty clear the Donte Moncrief is the Colts’ No. 2 WR from here on out. I was one of those that believed Andre Johnson wasn’t done yet, but that has clearly been proven incorrect. Moncrief has usurped Johnson on Andrew Luck’s target totem pole and it may just be a matter of time before rookie Philip Dorsett is knocking on the door for Johnson’s No. 3 WR job.

Jacksonville Jaguars

 

Targets: Allen Robinson (6, 12, 9), T.J. Yeldon (4, 4, 3), Allen Hurns (7, 4, 4), Marqise Lee (0, 4, 2)

RB Touches: T.J. Yeldon (15, 28, 13), Denard Robinson (7, 1, 0), Toby Gerhart (0, 0, 3)

Red zone Targets: Allen Robinson (2, 1, 0) and Allen Hurns (1, 0, 0)

Red zone Carries: T.J. Yeldon (1, 6, 1)

CBs Thrown At: Aaron Colvin 5, 5, 6 (2-14, 5-53, 6-63-1), Demetrius McCray 2, 5, 4 (2-14, 4-28, 2-9), Davon House 3, 2, 4 (1-37, 1-18, 2-23)

Analysis: The Jaguars offense is really straightforward from a fantasy perspective. T.J. Yeldon is the unrivaled workhorse seeing 64.9% of the Jags’ carries and 71.1% of snaps. He’s a high-end RB3 that will post RB2-type numbers in solid matchups. Allen Robinson will continue to see volume but – much like DeAndre Hopkins – his weekly consistency will be up-and-down because of the offense’s inefficiencies.

Kansas City Chiefs

 

Targets: Jeremy Maclin (9, 7, 11), Jamaal Charles (8, 5, 7), Travis Kelce (6, 5, 10), Albert Wilson (3, 1, 3), De’Anthony Thomas (2, 4, 2), Knile Davis (1, 1, 0)

RB Touches: Jamaal Charles (21, 25, 16), Knile Davis (7, 3, 0)

Red zone Targets: Jamaal Charles (2, 3, 0), Jeremy Maclin (2, 1, 2), Travis Kelce (1, 1, 2), De’Anthony Thomas (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Jamaal Charles (1, 3, 4) and Knile Davis (0, 1, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Marcus Cooper 0, 0, 7 (0-0, 0-0, 3-44-2), Marcus Peters 13, 14, 4 (8-122-2, 6-55-1, 3-22-1), Jamell Fleming 11, 13, 0 (8-85, 9-123-1, 0-0), Phillip Gaines 6, 5, 0* (3-40, 4-40, 0-0*)

Analysis: The Chiefs were 72.3% pass heavy on Monday Night Football and had to chase the game from behind all night in Green Bay. That capped Jamaal Charles’ workload and lead to more targets for Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce. Maclin’s 8-141-1 receiving line came entirely in the second half and he only saw two targets in the first half. Travis Kelce should see 10 targets per-game regardless of game flow, but it is great to see him involved routinely in the red zone. He only had 13 red zone looks in 2014 and already has four targets inside of the 20-yard line this year.

Miami Dolphins

 

Targets: Jarvis Landry (12, 10, 13), Lamar Miller (1, 6, 3), Jordan Cameron (7, 4, 8), Rishard Matthews (6, 7, 10), Greg Jennings (3, 5, 3), Kenny Stills (3, 4, 1), Damien Williams (1, 4, 3), DeVante Parker (0, 1, 7)

RB Touches: Lamar Miller (14, 15, 10), Damien Williams (2, 5, 3), Jonas Gray (0, 0, 9)

Red zone Targets: Jarvis Landry (3, 1, 3), Jordan Cameron (2, 0, 2), Damien Williams (1, 1, 0), Rishard Matthews (1, 0, 0), Kenny Stills (1, 0, 0), DeVante Parker (0, 0, 4)

Red zone Carries: Lamar Miller (0, 3, 1), Damien Williams (1, 0, 0), Jonas Gray (0, 0, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Brent Grimes 4, 9, 3 (1-4, 5-81, 3-14), Brice McCain 4, 7, 10 (3-49, 4-80-1, 6-100), Jamar Taylor 8, 4, 4 (7-54, 2-26, 3-49-1)

Analysis: Through three weeks, the Dolphins’ offense has been the definition of pedestrian and disappointing. Despite all of the weapons around him, Ryan Tannehill has not taken the expected leap forward in the league’s opening weeks, Miami can’t get their run game off of the ground, and they subsequently have scored just five offensive touchdowns. The ‘Fins face the Jets, Titans, Texans, Patriots, and Bills in the next five weeks. That’s not exactly the most conducive schedule to get your offense “right” under.

New England Patriots

 

Targets: Rob Gronkowski (8, 13, 7), Julian Edelman (12, 19, 11), Dion Lewis (5, 9, 5), Danny Amendola (3, 2, 5), Aaron Dobson (1, 8, 3), Scott Chandler (1, 5, 2)

RB Touches: Dion Lewis (19, 13, 13) and LeGarrette Blount (0, 2, 19)

Red zone Targets: Rob Gronkowski (4, 1, 2) Julian Edelman (1, 4, 2), Scott Chandler (1, 2, 2), Aaron Dobson (0, 2, 1), Danny Amendola (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Dion Lewis (2, 3, 4) and LeGarrette Blount (0, 2, 9)

CBs Thrown At: Malcolm Butler 11, 2, 5 (10-151-1, 1-32-1, 2-66-1) and Logan Ryan 0, 5, 4 (0-0, 4-39, 4-49)

Analysis: The Patriots offense is easy to diagnose at the top with Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, and Julian Edleman. It’s trying to figure out what Bill Belichick is thinking with his running back rotation that is a pain in fantasy owners’ necks. Dion Lewis is the starter and is just another added weapon to Brady and Co.’s arsenal but I’m reluctant to even remotely guess what Belichick is planning under his hood for his backs. For what it’s worth, LeGarrette Blount didn’t receive a carry until the mid-2nd quarter in the Pats’ Week 3 drubbing of the Jags’. By then, Dion Lewis already had six touches and Lewis out-snapped Blount (28:8) in the first half. 

New York Jets

 

Targets: Brandon Marshall (9, 10, 14), Eric Decker (3, 11, 0), Bilal Powell (4, 5, 8), Quincy Enunwa (0, 3, 10), Chris Ivory (1, 2, 0), Jeremy Kerley (0, 0, 11), Devin Smith (0, 0, 9), Zac Stacy (0, 0, 2)

RB Touches: Chris Ivory (21, 16, 0) and Bilal Powell (14, 16, 17)

Red zone Targets: Brandon Marshall (2, 1, 3), Eric Decker (1, 2, 0), Chris Ivory (1, 0, 0), Bilal Powell (1, 1, 0), Jeremy Kerley (0, 0, 1), Quincy Enunwa (0, 0, 1), Devin Smith (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Chris Ivory (7, 4, 0) and Bilal Powell (2, 1, 0)

CBs Thrown At: Darrelle Revis 6, 9, 2 (3-37, 5-75, 0-0), Buster Skrine 2, 10, 5 (1-11, 6-65, 4-34), Antonio Cromartie 1, 4, 4 (1-54-1, 3-71-1, 0-0)

Analysis: Brandon Marshall is a low-end WR1 in fantasy until further notice and if Decker (knee) misses another week, Marshall is a top-8 play in Week 4 against the Dolphins. No further analysis is needed there. Chris Ivory (quad) was active in Week 3 but did not play a snap, leaving Bilal Powell as the starter. Stay tuned to the Jets’ practice reports this week for more on Ivory.

Oakland Raiders

 

Targets: Amari Cooper (9, 11, 11), Michael Crabtree (8, 16, 9), Latavius Murray (7, 3, 1), Mychal Rivera (2, 5), Mychal Rivera (2, 5, 1)

RB Touches: Latavius Murray (21, 18, 27) and Taiwan Jones (4, 3, 2)

Red zone Targets: Amari Cooper (0, 0, 0), Michael Crabtree (1, 1, 2), Mychal Rivera (0, 1, 0)

Red zone Carries: Latavius Murray (0, 2, 8) and Taiwan Jones (0, 0, 1)

CBs Thrown At: D.J. Hayden 9, 8, 9 (7-67-1, 5-54, 6-62-1) and Neiko Thorpe 3, 10, 9 (3-38-1, 5-104, 5-89)

Analysis:  It’s time to retire the “But, Raiders” lazy analysis when diagnosing their offense. Derek Carr has seemingly improved in Year two and his cast of Amari Cooper, Latavius Murray, and Michael Crabtree is a much-improved unit over James Jones, Andre Holmes, and the rotting husks of Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew in 2014.

Plus – for fantasy purposes – their offense is extremely clear-cut. Cooper and Crabtree are good for at least seven targets per-game regardless of the opposing matchup and Latavius Murray is a top-15 back every week just based on volume. Through three weeks Oakland is 10th in points scored and 5th in yards per play (6.16) and while those numbers may not stick throughout the course of the season, I’d wager a lot of people were wrong about the Oakland offense this year – including myself.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

 

Targets: Antonio Brown (11, 11, 13), Le’Veon Bell (0, 0, 8), Heath Miller (11, 2, 3), Darrius Heyward-Bey (7, 5, 3), Markus Wheaton (7, 4, 3)

RB Touches: Le’Veon Bell (0, 0, 26) and DeAngelo Williams (22, 24, 1)

Red zone Targets: Heath Miller (3, 2, 2), Antonio Brown (1, 1, 1), Le’Veon Bell (0, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Le’Veon Bell (0, 0, 3) and DeAngelo Williams (6, 7, 0)

CBs Thrown At: William Gay 7, 9, 4 (5-37, 6-61, 4-44) and Antwon Blake 4, 8, 3 (4-41, 6-54, 2-32)

Analysis: The big news in Week 3 was while Ben Roethlisberger (knee) avoided an ACL-tear, he’ll still be sidelined “at least four weeks” with an MCL sprain. Veteran Michael Vick will start in his place. Over the next four weeks, the Steelers face the Ravens, Chargers, Cardinals, and the Chiefs. Antonio Brown will still be a certifiable stud and a target monster with Vick at quarterback but Big Ben’s injury might tick down his weekly ceiling and floor just a hair. Le’Veon Bell will be leaned on heavily, but like Brown, his touchdown ceiling is capped a bit based on Big Ben’s injury. He’s still easily a top-3 option, however.

San Diego Chargers

 

Targets: Keenan Allen (17, 4, 18), Danny Woodhead (7, 6, 4), Stevie Johnson (6, 6, 5), Ladarius Green (6, 6, 0), Melvin Gordon (3, 1, 1), Malcom Floyd (2, 4, 7)

RB Touches: Melvin Gordon (17, 17, 14) and Danny Woodhead (16, 13, 8)

Red zone Targets: Stevie Johnson (2, 1, 1), Keenan Allen (2, 0, 1), Ladarius Green (2, 0, 0), Danny Woodhead (2, 0, 0), Malcom Floyd (1, 0, 2)

Red zone Carries: Danny Woodhead (6, 1, 0) – No Red zone Rush Attempts in Week 3

CBs Thrown At: Jason Verrett 4, 3, 2 (1-6, 2-38, 2-24), Brandon Flowers 4, 6, 0* (2-39, 4-70-2, 0-0), Patrick Robinson 4, 2, 3 (2-27, 1-2, 2-24)

Analysis: Due to game-flow (trailing), the Chargers were 61.1% pass heavy in Week 3, which harmed Melvin Gordon’s snap count and touches. Gordon has been out-snapped by Danny Woodhead (109:92) through the first three weeks. So far, we’ve seen two games where Keenan Allen is an absolute target monster and one (at Bengals) where Allen was phased out of the offense. I’m bullish on Allen as a low-end WR2 in fantasy but I’m very interested to see his target share when Antonio Gates (suspension) returns in Week 5.

Tennessee Titans

 

Targets: Kendall Wright (4, 4, 12), Bishop Sankey (4, 2, 2), Delanie Walker (3, 0*, 10), Harry Douglas (2, 8, 6), Justin Hunter (2, 2, 2), Dorial Green-Beckham (0, 2, 2), Dexter McCluster (0, 4, 2), Antonio Andrews (0, 0, 2)

RB Touches: Bishop Sankey (14, 12, 7), Dexter McCluster (2, 14, 6), Antonio Andrews (0, 0, 13)

Red zone Targets: Kendall Wright (0, 0, 4), Delanie Walker (1, 0, 0), Harry Douglas (1, 1, 0), Bishop Sankey (1, 2, 0), Dorial Green-Beckham (0, 1, 2), Justin Hunter (0, 0, 1)

Red zone Carries: Bishop Sankey (1, 1, 2) and Antonio Andrews (0, 0, 4)

CBs Thrown At: Coty Sensabaugh 3, 6, 4 (1-18, 4-84-1, 0-0), Perrish Cox 2, 1, 8 (1-6, 0-0, 7-78-1), Blidi Wreh-Wilson 6, 3, 5 (2-18, 1-50-1, 2-56)

 

Analysis: In Week 1, Bishop Sankey was the Titans leader in touches while Terrance West led in carries. In Week 2, Dexter McCluster led in touches. In Week 3, Antonio Andrews led Titans’ backs in touches after not registering a carry in the first two games. Please avoid the Titans’ backfield for fantasy decisions.

Various Ways How a Company can enlarge Foreign

Written by : Posted on September 29, 2015 : No Comments

Various Ways How a Company can enlarge Foreign

Guide Running a company, in particular should it be one which happens to be within its start up levels, is absolutely not easy. There are a lot of hazards involved, and in some cases, the management easily experiences numerous complications, some of which can also be a way to obtain the company’s inability to build or more intense, extinction.assignment borders On the reverse side from the storyline, there are actually companies that are guaranteed having a strong, sturdy, qualified, and industrious supervision staff who only seems to prevail over regardless of what obstacle should get chucked looking at them. Typically, those are the suppliers making it to the overseas markets. Most companies start off as home-based enterprises, serving this system or support requires associated with a national residents they may have wanted to aim for throughout their business’ planning stages.

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Waiver Wired: Waiver Wired: Week 4

Written by : Posted on September 29, 2015 : No Comments
This post was originally published on this site

Welcome to the fourth edition of Waiver Wired for the 2015 season. As is always the case, this column will be your guide to the best players available in at least 50 percent of Yahoo fantasy leagues. Some of those players will be plug-and-play options who could help this week while others will be stashes who may become useful in the future.

Each profiled player will come with a recommendation of what size league they should be owned. This does not mean they cannot be owned in shallower leagues, but they are not must-adds in the smaller formats. Also, a watch list will follow every position group. These are players who could be useful in deeper formats, but they are not yet must own players in shallower leagues. Now that the explanation is out of the way, let’s move on to the action.

The weekend passed without any huge injuries besides the MCL sprain and bone bruise for Ben Roethlisberger, which means it is an ugly week on the wire, especially at quarterback and running back. With so little immediate help available, now is a great time to take a chance on a high-upside stash who may not yet have a defined role. I will discuss them further below, but Karlos Williams, Ronnie Hillman, Duke Johnson and Dorial Green-Beckham are four of my favorites.

Three steps to fantasy football glory. Buy the Rotoworld Season Pass, stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld News Page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @RMSummerlin on Twitter. Championship.

Quarterbacks
1. Tyrod Taylor
2. Derek Carr
3. Michael Vick
*Andy Dalton is owned in 52 percent of Yahoo leagues. My No. 1 pickup if available.

Running backs
1. Karlos Williams
2. Thomas Rawls
3. Ronnie Hillman
4. Duke Johnson
5. Chris Johnson
6. Antonio Andrews
*Devonta Freeman is owned in 63 percent of Yahoo leagues. My No. 1 pickup if available. Darren Sproles (52 percent) and Ryan Mathews (55 percent) are also recommended pickups.

Wide receivers
1. Marvin Jones
2. Dorial Green-Beckham
3. Leonard Hankerson
4. Rishard Matthews
5. Ty Montgomery
6. Rueben Randle
7. DeVante Parker
8. Michael Crabtree

Tight ends
1. Antonio Gates
2. Coby Fleener
3. Maxx Williams
4. Ladarius Green
5. Eric Ebron

Defense/Special Teams
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Cincinnati Bengals

Kickers
1. John Brown
2. Chandler Catanzaro
3. Blair Walsh

QUARTERBACKS
1. Tyrod Taylor, Bills – Owned in 37 percent of Yahoo leagues
The time for doubting has passed. Tyrod Taylor carved up the Dolphins’ defense for 277 yards and three touchdowns on just 29 attempts Sunday and is among the top-five fantasy scorers at the quarterback position after three weeks. There will be days where the deep ball does not work and Taylor takes too many sacks, but he showed last week he can still be a valuable fantasy asset when things go wrong. He is a must-own player and a weekly starter.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

2. Derek Carr, Raiders – Owned in 24 percent of Yahoo leagues
What a difference a wide receiver makes. After wallowing in the depths of a miscast James Jones and an enigmatic Andre Holmes last season, Derek Carr has finally found a player who fits his style in Amari Cooper. Despite attempting a deep pass on a middling 10 percent of his throws, Carr has completed 10 passes which have gone for over 20 yards including five passes for over 30. Carr had a similar deep-pass percentage last season but managed just 28 passes over 20 yards and 14 over 30 all year. He is on pace to almost double both of those numbers, and the biggest reason why is Amari Cooper, who leads the league with 176 yards after the catch. As long as Cooper is healthy, he and Carr will continue to make big plays.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

3. Michael Vick, Steelers – Owned in 3 percent of Yahoo leagues
With Ben Roethlisberger on the shelf for at least the next four weeks with an MCL sprain and a bruised bone in his knee, Michael Vick will take over the reins of the Steelers’ potent offense. Vick has not been a good NFL quarterback since 2011, but he was at least a usable fantasy asset his final two years in Philadelphia, averaging almost 15 points across 17 appearances. In an offense this loaded and well suited to his deep ball prowess, Vick is worth a stash and see in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

Watch List: Alex Smith saved his night somewhat in garbage time, but the Chiefs are struggling to protect him right now. That is not a great sign as they head to Cincinnati. With the quarterback cupboard so bare, Johnny Manziel is a name to watch. It is only a matter of time before he becomes the Browns’ starter. … Ryan Fitzpatrick had a bad day against the Jets, but he still managed 14.6 fantasy points. He is a solid if not spectacular deep league option. … Jay Cutler has rightfully been dropped in a lot of leagues. He is coming back, and Alshon Jeffery is as well. … I do not have much faith in Jameis Winston developing into a reliable starter this season, but at least he has Mike Evans back.

Welcome to the fourth edition of Waiver Wired for the 2015 season. As is always the case, this column will be your guide to the best players available in at least 50 percent of Yahoo fantasy leagues. Some of those players will be plug-and-play options who could help this week while others will be stashes who may become useful in the future.

Each profiled player will come with a recommendation of what size league they should be owned. This does not mean they cannot be owned in shallower leagues, but they are not must-adds in the smaller formats. Also, a watch list will follow every position group. These are players who could be useful in deeper formats, but they are not yet must own players in shallower leagues. Now that the explanation is out of the way, let’s move on to the action.

The weekend passed without any huge injuries besides the MCL sprain and bone bruise for Ben Roethlisberger, which means it is an ugly week on the wire, especially at quarterback and running back. With so little immediate help available, now is a great time to take a chance on a high-upside stash who may not yet have a defined role. I will discuss them further below, but Karlos Williams, Ronnie Hillman, Duke Johnson and Dorial Green-Beckham are four of my favorites.

Three steps to fantasy football glory. Buy the Rotoworld Season Pass, stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld News Page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @RMSummerlin on Twitter. Championship.

Quarterbacks
1. Tyrod Taylor
2. Derek Carr
3. Michael Vick
*Andy Dalton is owned in 52 percent of Yahoo leagues. My No. 1 pickup if available.

Running backs
1. Karlos Williams
2. Thomas Rawls
3. Ronnie Hillman
4. Duke Johnson
5. Chris Johnson
6. Antonio Andrews
*Devonta Freeman is owned in 63 percent of Yahoo leagues. My No. 1 pickup if available. Darren Sproles (52 percent) and Ryan Mathews (55 percent) are also recommended pickups.

Wide receivers
1. Marvin Jones
2. Dorial Green-Beckham
3. Leonard Hankerson
4. Rishard Matthews
5. Ty Montgomery
6. Rueben Randle
7. DeVante Parker
8. Michael Crabtree

Tight ends
1. Antonio Gates
2. Coby Fleener
3. Maxx Williams
4. Ladarius Green
5. Eric Ebron

Defense/Special Teams
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Cincinnati Bengals

Kickers
1. John Brown
2. Chandler Catanzaro
3. Blair Walsh

QUARTERBACKS
1. Tyrod Taylor, Bills – Owned in 37 percent of Yahoo leagues
The time for doubting has passed. Tyrod Taylor carved up the Dolphins’ defense for 277 yards and three touchdowns on just 29 attempts Sunday and is among the top-five fantasy scorers at the quarterback position after three weeks. There will be days where the deep ball does not work and Taylor takes too many sacks, but he showed last week he can still be a valuable fantasy asset when things go wrong. He is a must-own player and a weekly starter.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

2. Derek Carr, Raiders – Owned in 24 percent of Yahoo leagues
What a difference a wide receiver makes. After wallowing in the depths of a miscast James Jones and an enigmatic Andre Holmes last season, Derek Carr has finally found a player who fits his style in Amari Cooper. Despite attempting a deep pass on a middling 10 percent of his throws, Carr has completed 10 passes which have gone for over 20 yards including five passes for over 30. Carr had a similar deep-pass percentage last season but managed just 28 passes over 20 yards and 14 over 30 all year. He is on pace to almost double both of those numbers, and the biggest reason why is Amari Cooper, who leads the league with 176 yards after the catch. As long as Cooper is healthy, he and Carr will continue to make big plays.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

3. Michael Vick, Steelers – Owned in 3 percent of Yahoo leagues
With Ben Roethlisberger on the shelf for at least the next four weeks with an MCL sprain and a bruised bone in his knee, Michael Vick will take over the reins of the Steelers’ potent offense. Vick has not been a good NFL quarterback since 2011, but he was at least a usable fantasy asset his final two years in Philadelphia, averaging almost 15 points across 17 appearances. In an offense this loaded and well suited to his deep ball prowess, Vick is worth a stash and see in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

Watch List: Alex Smith saved his night somewhat in garbage time, but the Chiefs are struggling to protect him right now. That is not a great sign as they head to Cincinnati. With the quarterback cupboard so bare, Johnny Manziel is a name to watch. It is only a matter of time before he becomes the Browns’ starter. … Ryan Fitzpatrick had a bad day against the Jets, but he still managed 14.6 fantasy points. He is a solid if not spectacular deep league option. … Jay Cutler has rightfully been dropped in a lot of leagues. He is coming back, and Alshon Jeffery is as well. … I do not have much faith in Jameis Winston developing into a reliable starter this season, but at least he has Mike Evans back.


RUNNING BACKS
1. Karlos Williams, Bills – Owned in 25 percent of Yahoo leagues
Karlos Williams has scored three touchdowns in as many games to start his career and sports an impressive 7.8 YPC with just one carry for no gain or worse. With LeSean McCoy set to miss at least one week, Williams is now the presumptive starter for Week 4 against a Giants’ defense which has given up the sixth-most fantasy points to running backs overall, though New York has been much better on a per-carry basis and now have Jon Beason healthy. Either way, it is a good matchup and Williams will be a high-end RB2 against New York. More importantly, Williams could play his way into a large offensive role even when McCoy comes back healthy. He is the No. 1 add this week.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

2. Thomas Rawls, Seahawks – Owned in 3 percent of Yahoo leagues
Thomas Rawls is a player I struggled to rank. The Seahawks have not seemed concerned about Marshawn Lynch’s hamstring injury, meaning Rawls is unlikely to have value moving forward. If Lynch is forced to miss time, however, Rawls showed on Sunday he is more than capable of putting up numbers in the Seahawks’ offense. Rawls started the game and rushed for 104 yards on 16 carries while clearly playing ahead of Fred Jackson. The Lions will certainly put up more resistance than Rawls’ faced from the Bears this week, but Detroit has struggled to defend the run through three weeks as well. If Lynch is not able to play, Rawls would be on the RB2 map. That means he probably needs to be added in all leagues, especially by Lynch owners.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

3. Ronnie Hillman, Broncos – Owned in 36 percent of Yahoo leagues
I struggled with the order of Ronnie Hillman and Duke Johnson. Both are second options to struggling starters in what have turned out to be bad running games, but Hillman is ultimately in an offense with a higher overall ceiling. That gives him the upper hand, even though it is concerning he is still clearly behind C.J. Anderson. He is a stash, but he is not yet a usable asset.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

4. Duke Johnson, Browns – Owned in 34 percent of Yahoo leagues
Duke Johnson played more snaps than Isaiah Crowell for the second week in a row, and for the first time this season the rookie saw the same number of touches. Johnson did not do much with the work – partly because the Browns ran him straight into the arms of Khalil Mack on two runs and partly because Josh McCown put him in terrible positions on several throws – but he did make a big 18-yard catch-and-run on the Browns’ failed comeback drive. Cleveland is not going to throw it 49 times a game, but they would be better served using Johnson in the passing game than Gary Barnidge. His role should grow, and he is worth a stash.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

5. Chris Johnson, Cardinals – Owned in 42 percent of Yahoo leagues
Chris Johnson had a great day against the 49ers and should have a role even when Andre Ellington comes back next week, but it will be a part-time role at best. He is worth holding onto in deeper leagues in anticipation of the next time Ellington gets injured, but he is not a must-stash in shallower formats.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

6. Antonio Andrews, Titans – Owned in 1 percent of Yahoo leagues
In the ever-spinning roulette wheel of Titans running backs, it appears the ball has for the moment landed on Antonio Andrews. A 2014 UDFA out of Western Kentucky, Andrews is a solid back with pedestrian measurables who will not blow anyone out of the water in the open field. It is doubtful he holds the job all season, but he could maintain the role held by the similarly middling Shonn Greene for large chunks of 2014. That at least gives him stash value in deeper leagues. As for Bishop Sankey, he has now been jumped on the depth chart by an UDFA and a scatback (Dexter McCluster). Not a great sign for his NFL future.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

Watch List: Reggie Bush should return this week. With the 49ers set to lose a lot of games big this season, he could be valuable in PPR formats. … Same goes for Lance Dunbar, who took on a big passing role with Brandon Weeden allergic to throwing the ball deep. … Bilal Powell has established himself as the clear handcuff for Chris Ivory. If Ivory’s injuries linger again this week, he will be worth a look. … Alfred Blue had his semi-annual big game, but Arian Foster should come back this week. If he does not, Blue is worth adding. … Mike Tolbert replaced Jonathan Stewart on almost every red-zone snap against the Saints. … Khiry Robinson continues to see a steady amount of work behind Mark Ingram. … Lorenzo Taliaferro should regain a bigger part of the Ravens’ backfield work as he gets healthy. … Charles Sims will keep getting targets as long as the Bucs keep trailing late in games.

WIDE RECEIVERS
1. Marvin Jones, Bengals – Owned in 19 percent of Yahoo leagues
I laid out the case for Marvin Jones when I had him as my top pickup last week, but here are the basics. He is a player with proven touchdown upside who is at worst the third receiving option in an offense which is going to score points this season. He needs to be owned in all leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

2. Dorial Green-Beckham, Titans – Owned in 17 percent of Yahoo leagues
It is a bit concerning Dorial Green-Beckham saw just 14 snaps a week after Harry Douglas turned eight targets into nine yards, but trusting Ken Whisenhunt to do the smart thing is always a risky proposition. The good news is Douglas had a similarly unimpressive 20 yards on six targets against the Colts this week while Green-Beckham manhandled Vontae Davis for his second touchdown in as many games. My hope is Tennessee uses the bye to get their ultra-talented receiver involved in an offense which has a surprising amount of upside with Marcus Mariota running the show.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

3. Leonard Hankerson, Falcons – Owned in 12 percent of Yahoo leagues
For the second week in a row Leonard Hankerson played fewer snaps than Roddy White, and for the second week in a row he was more involved in the passing game. Hankerson caught 3-of-6 targets for 45 yards against the Cowboys while White was again held without a catch for the second time in as many weeks. This week White did not even get a target. There is no way White continues to put up goose eggs moving forward, but it is clear the Falcons value Hankerson’s abilities more in the passing game. Even with Julio Jones garnering a ridiculous percentage of the targets – 39.7 percent through three games – Hankerson should be good for 6-10 targets weekly.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

4. Rishard Matthews, Dolphins – Owned in 31 percent of Yahoo leagues
The long bright spot in a dreadful day for the Dolphins was the play of Rishard Matthews, who gained 113 yards on six receptions and scored the only two touchdowns of the game for Miami. Matthews now has at least six targets in every game this season and has gone over 100 yards in each of the last two. The issue for Matthews continues to be the looming presence of DeVante Parker, who played 42 snaps against the Bills and saw four red-zone targets in the meaningless fourth quarter. Parker will become a consistent part of the passing offense at some point this season, and that will hurt Matthews. Until then, however, he is a usable fantasy asset.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

5. Ty Montgomery, Packers – Owned in 6 percent of Yahoo leagues
Davante Adams again left a Packers’ game early in the first half with an ankle injury. This time he did not come back, and Ty Montgomery hauled in two catches for 14 yards and a touchdown playing in Adams’ place, just as he did last week. Montgomery is clearly the No. 4 option on the depth chart, and Aaron Rodgers has said multiple times how much he trusts the rookie receiver. Montgomery could develop into a usable asset with Adams out, and he could steal the No. 3 job outright if he strings together several good performances.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

6. Rueben Randle, Giants – Owned in 28 percent of Yahoo leagues
A shocking thing happened on Thursday night. A coach said a player was going to be more involved in the offense, and that player was actually more involved in the offense. It was absolutely mind blowing. Tom Coughlin spent most of last week talking about how the Giants needed to get Rueben Randle more targets, and the Giants responded by feeding him seven targets. Randle turned those looks into 116 yards and a touchdown though 41 of those yards and the touchdown came on the flukiest of fluky catches in what was a ridiculous final four minutes of the game. I still question whether Randle can be efficient enough to be a useful fantasy asset, especially with Victor Cruz on the way back, but it is worth picking him up to find out.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

7. DeVante Parker, Dolphins – Owned in 20 percent of Yahoo leagues
Speaking of DeVante Parker, he is also a decent add in deeper leagues this week. A lot of his snaps and all but one of his seven targets came in the fourth quarter, but Parker should continue to become a bigger part of the passing offense. I question how effective he can be with sporadic deep thrower Ryan Tannehill under center, but it is worth waiting to find out in deeper leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

8. Michael Crabtree, Raiders – Owned in 49 percent of Yahoo leagues
The real Michael Crabtree came to play Week 3 against the Browns. Crabtree caught just 4-of-9 targets for 36 yards and had a long catch of 14 yards. It is his second game with more than four catches but less than 40 yards this season, and those games just happened to be sandwiched around a 9-111 Week 2 performance. Crabtree will have more of the 5-50 games than the 10-120, but he is the only other realistic passing option on the Raiders other than Amari Cooper. That gives him value.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

Watch List: Jeff Fisher said Brian Quick could be active Week 4. The Rams’ passing game is too much of a mess to call him a must-add, but he will immediately become the best receiver on the roster. … Breshad Perriman suffered a setback. This is shaping up as a lost year for the rookie wide receiver. … Michael Floyd was more involved in the offense against the 49ers, but he only caught 1-of-5 targets and played less than 50 percent of the snaps. … With Andre Johnson struggling, Phillip Dorsett could see his role in the offense grow. … Willie Snead played more snaps than Brandon Coleman and had the second-most targets on the Saints behind Brandin Cooks. He needs to clearly separate from Coleman and Marques Colston to have value, but he seems to be heading that direction. … Doug Baldwin fell back to earth with just three targets and Tyler Lockett played just 25 offensive snaps against the Bears. It will be very difficult for any pass catcher not named Jimmy Graham to have consistent value in Seattle. … Nate Washington and Cecil Shorts have benefited from the Texans attempting the most passes in the league through three weeks. That should change with Arian Foster returning. The duo has combined to catch 50.9 percent of their targets this season. … Ted Ginn got deep for a big gain against an overmatched Brandon Browner, but he is too unreliable to trust in shallower leagues. Devin Funchess had an increased role with Jerricho Cotchery out. … I do not like relying on Jaguars, but Allen Hurns has at least 60 yards in every game this season. … Robert Woods could be in line for more work if Sammy Watkins (calf) is forced to miss time. … Quincey Enunwa had 10 targets with Eric Decker sidelined. Devin Smith played 63-of-79 snaps. … Ryan Grant has a good shot to jump drop-prone Andre Roberts for the No. 3 receiver role in Washington.

TIGHT ENDS
1. Antonio Gates, Chargers – Owned in 46 percent of Yahoo leagues
Antonio Gates’ four-game suspension ends next week, so now is the perfect time to add him. Because of injury, Ladarius Green has not established himself enough to knock Gates off the top rung in San Diego, and Stevie Johnson is not doing enough to make Gates’ role in the offense obsolete. He will be a borderline TE1 when he returns, and he has the touchdown upside to be even more.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues.

2. Coby Fleener, Colts – Owned in 19 percent of Yahoo leagues
Even on a day the Colts’ offense struggled, Coby Fleener proved once again he is a reliable fantasy asset whenever Dwayne Allen is sidelined. Fleener averaged 78 yards and scored four touchdowns in the five games Allen missed or was limited last season, and he hauled in 4-of-6 targets for 51 yards Week 3 against the Titans. With Andre Johnson nonexistent in the offense, Fleener should have a decent role as long as Allen is out.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

3. Maxx Williams, Ravens – Owned in 1 percent of Yahoo leagues
Crockett Gillmore was on his way to another decent day with three catches for 40 yards in the first half of the Ravens’ Week 3 loss to the Bengals, but he did not play a snap in the second half with an undisclosed injury. Maxx Williams took advantage of the opportunity and turned six fourth-quarter targets into three catches for 44 yards. Gillmore did not practice on Monday and is questionable at best for Thursday night against the Steelers, who have given up the third most points to tight ends through three weeks. Williams will be worth a look as a streamer and in DFS if Gillmore is ruled out.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

4. Ladarius Green, Chargers – Owned in 33 percent of Yahoo leagues
I like Ladarius Green more than Maxx Williams as a one-week rental, but he falls behind the rookie on this list because Williams has the chance to develop into more. Green has been solid when on the field with Antonio Gates suspended, but he has not done enough to ensure a meaningful role once Gates returns next week. If he gets cleared from his concussion, he will be a low-end TE1 against the Browns, but this will be the last week he is usable for the foreseeable future.
Recommendation: One-week streaming option in all leagues.

5. Eric Ebron, Lions – Owned in 50 percent of Yahoo leagues
Eric Ebron has played almost 93 percent of the Lions’ offensive snaps over the last two weeks with Brandon Pettigrew sidelined, racking up 9 catches, 104 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets over that span. The problem is Ebron’s blocking has been atrocious, and that means he will once again lose snaps to Pettigrew once he is healthy. Ebron should continue to be the third option in the Lions’ passing game, but the offense has not been good enough to even support its top-two options. Ebron is a solid TE2 and streaming consideration, but he is not a weekly starter in shallower leagues.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues.

Watch List: Charles Clay would move up this list if the injury to Sammy Watkins ends up forcing him to miss a game. … It is promising Owen Daniels saw nine targets and scored a touchdown. It is less promising he had 28 yards on five catches. … One catch for seven yards is the Jared Cook I know and hate to love. … Gary Barnidge had 658 career receiving yards in seven seasons and some change before blowing up for 6-105-1 against the Raiders. I doubt that type of performance happens again. … Garrett Celek could be worth a look if Vernon Davis’ injury ends up forcing him to miss time.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
1. Indianapolis Colts – Owned in 30 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Colts gave up a lot of yards and some touchdowns to Marcus Mariota and the Titans, but they sacked the rookie quarterback three times and forced two interceptions. They should have similar success in terms of sacks and interceptions against Blake Bortles this week, and they are much less likely to get carved up through the air, especially if Greg Toler (neck) can return. They are my favorite streaming option.

2. Cincinnati Bengals – Owned in 20 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Bengals struggled to defend the pass and Steve Smith particularly Week 3 against the Ravens, but they have the defensive line to create pressure and cause problems for the Chiefs’ struggling offensive line. Alex Smith is not going to turn the ball over often, but Cincinnati should get several sacks and limit the offense at home. In not a great week for streaming options, they are not a bad choice.

Looking Ahead: The Chiefs get the Bears at home Week 5. They are currently owned in 60 percent of Yahoo leagues, but they will likely be dropped in a lot of leagues following Aaron Rodgers’ five touchdowns on Monday night. They are a good early add. The Giants are also in a good spot at home against the 49ers, especially considering their biggest issues on defense are in the secondary. Colin Kaepernick is unlikely to threaten that weakness.

KICKERS
1. John Brown, Giants – Owned in 38 percent of Yahoo leagues
John Brown was one of the best fantasy kickers in the league down the stretch last season and has opened this one with a league-leading nine field goal attempts through three weeks. This week he gets the Bills, who have one of the best red-zone defenses in the league when they are not playing the Patriots. Playing in Buffalo is a concern, but the weather should still be fine the first weekend in October. He is a good bet for at least two field goal attempts.

2. Chandler Catanzaro, Cardinals – Owned in 9 percent of Yahoo leagues
Chandler Catanzaro has only attempted two field goals through three weeks, but that is because the Cardinals’ offense has been greeted by a welcome mat by the defenses for New Orleans, Chicago, and San Francisco. Catanzaro has made 16-of-17 extra point attempts, however, and should get a few more field goal looks with the Rams’ quality defense headed to town. At home on a team with a decent total against a team with a good red zone defense, Catanzaro is in a good spot.

3. Blair Walsh, Vikings – Owned in 11 percent of Yahoo leagues
Blair Walsh has had a shaky start to the season, struggling in the preseason and missing an extra point and a field goal in the first two weeks. Walsh was solid last week, however, and now heads to Denver to face one of the best red-zone defenses in the league. I like big-legged kickers in Denver, and Walsh certainly fits that bill.